Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine
Risk of torrential floods focusing on analysis of torrential floods in the Branicevo district from 2015 to 2018
Апстракт
Veliki broj bujičnih poplava u Republici Srbiji, sa ljudskim žrtvama i velikom materijalnom štetom, ukazuje da je ovo problem koji se mora planski rešavati. Rizik od ove vrste vanrednih događaja je veliki, uslovljen pre svega klimatskim i fizičko-geografskim karakteristikama našeg područja, slabom preventivnom zaštitom od bujičnih poplava, negativnim uticajem ljudskih aktivnosti, nedostatkom planova za sprečavanje neželjenih događaja, neodgovarajućom metodologijom procene ugroženosti, a ponekad i lošom organizacionom strukturom sistema odbrane, može dovesti do katastrofalnih posledica. Takođe, činjenica je da je sistem ranog upozoravanja od nastanka bujičnih nepogoda nedovoljno funkcionalan. U ovom radu sagledane su tri velike bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu, u periodu od tri godine. Sve češća pojava intenzivnih kišnih epizoda, sa velikom količinom padavina, nalaže izradu odgovarajućeg modela za ranu najavu bujičnih poplava.
A large number of torrential floods in the Republic of Serbia, with increasingly destructive effects and extensive material damage, are a problem that must be addressed systematically. The risk of this emergency situation is high, primarily due to the climate and geographical characteristics of our areas, poor preventive protection against torrential floods, lack of plans for the prevention of adverse events, poor risk assessment methodology, and sometimes poor organisational structure, all of which can lead to catastrophic consequences. Also, an inadequate and dysfunctional early warning system against the occurrence of torrential disasters makes the system of torrential flood protection in the Republic of Serbia is inadequate. The main problem is that no torrents are the same and there is a different scenario for each of them. This paper analyses three major torrential floods in the Braničevo district over a period of three years. The increasing amount of atmospheric precipitation ov...er a short period of time warns us that there will be more and more of these extraordinary events and it is up to the state authorities to find a model of how to cope with these phenomena as successfully as possible.
Кључне речи:
vanredne situacije / procena rizika / katastrofalne posledice / bujične poplave / torrential flood / risk assessment / emergency situation / catastrophic consequencesИзвор:
Bezbednost, Beograd, 2020, 62, 3, 5-21Издавач:
- Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd
Институција/група
Šumarski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Đorđević, Goran AU - Ristić, Ratko AU - Ratknić, Mihajlo AU - Mijatović, Andreja PY - 2020 UR - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1163 AB - Veliki broj bujičnih poplava u Republici Srbiji, sa ljudskim žrtvama i velikom materijalnom štetom, ukazuje da je ovo problem koji se mora planski rešavati. Rizik od ove vrste vanrednih događaja je veliki, uslovljen pre svega klimatskim i fizičko-geografskim karakteristikama našeg područja, slabom preventivnom zaštitom od bujičnih poplava, negativnim uticajem ljudskih aktivnosti, nedostatkom planova za sprečavanje neželjenih događaja, neodgovarajućom metodologijom procene ugroženosti, a ponekad i lošom organizacionom strukturom sistema odbrane, može dovesti do katastrofalnih posledica. Takođe, činjenica je da je sistem ranog upozoravanja od nastanka bujičnih nepogoda nedovoljno funkcionalan. U ovom radu sagledane su tri velike bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu, u periodu od tri godine. Sve češća pojava intenzivnih kišnih epizoda, sa velikom količinom padavina, nalaže izradu odgovarajućeg modela za ranu najavu bujičnih poplava. AB - A large number of torrential floods in the Republic of Serbia, with increasingly destructive effects and extensive material damage, are a problem that must be addressed systematically. The risk of this emergency situation is high, primarily due to the climate and geographical characteristics of our areas, poor preventive protection against torrential floods, lack of plans for the prevention of adverse events, poor risk assessment methodology, and sometimes poor organisational structure, all of which can lead to catastrophic consequences. Also, an inadequate and dysfunctional early warning system against the occurrence of torrential disasters makes the system of torrential flood protection in the Republic of Serbia is inadequate. The main problem is that no torrents are the same and there is a different scenario for each of them. This paper analyses three major torrential floods in the Braničevo district over a period of three years. The increasing amount of atmospheric precipitation over a short period of time warns us that there will be more and more of these extraordinary events and it is up to the state authorities to find a model of how to cope with these phenomena as successfully as possible. PB - Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd T2 - Bezbednost, Beograd T1 - Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine T1 - Risk of torrential floods focusing on analysis of torrential floods in the Branicevo district from 2015 to 2018 EP - 21 IS - 3 SP - 5 VL - 62 DO - 10.5937/bezbednost2003005D UR - conv_630 ER -
@article{ author = "Đorđević, Goran and Ristić, Ratko and Ratknić, Mihajlo and Mijatović, Andreja", year = "2020", abstract = "Veliki broj bujičnih poplava u Republici Srbiji, sa ljudskim žrtvama i velikom materijalnom štetom, ukazuje da je ovo problem koji se mora planski rešavati. Rizik od ove vrste vanrednih događaja je veliki, uslovljen pre svega klimatskim i fizičko-geografskim karakteristikama našeg područja, slabom preventivnom zaštitom od bujičnih poplava, negativnim uticajem ljudskih aktivnosti, nedostatkom planova za sprečavanje neželjenih događaja, neodgovarajućom metodologijom procene ugroženosti, a ponekad i lošom organizacionom strukturom sistema odbrane, može dovesti do katastrofalnih posledica. Takođe, činjenica je da je sistem ranog upozoravanja od nastanka bujičnih nepogoda nedovoljno funkcionalan. U ovom radu sagledane su tri velike bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu, u periodu od tri godine. Sve češća pojava intenzivnih kišnih epizoda, sa velikom količinom padavina, nalaže izradu odgovarajućeg modela za ranu najavu bujičnih poplava., A large number of torrential floods in the Republic of Serbia, with increasingly destructive effects and extensive material damage, are a problem that must be addressed systematically. The risk of this emergency situation is high, primarily due to the climate and geographical characteristics of our areas, poor preventive protection against torrential floods, lack of plans for the prevention of adverse events, poor risk assessment methodology, and sometimes poor organisational structure, all of which can lead to catastrophic consequences. Also, an inadequate and dysfunctional early warning system against the occurrence of torrential disasters makes the system of torrential flood protection in the Republic of Serbia is inadequate. The main problem is that no torrents are the same and there is a different scenario for each of them. This paper analyses three major torrential floods in the Braničevo district over a period of three years. The increasing amount of atmospheric precipitation over a short period of time warns us that there will be more and more of these extraordinary events and it is up to the state authorities to find a model of how to cope with these phenomena as successfully as possible.", publisher = "Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd", journal = "Bezbednost, Beograd", title = "Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine, Risk of torrential floods focusing on analysis of torrential floods in the Branicevo district from 2015 to 2018", pages = "21-5", number = "3", volume = "62", doi = "10.5937/bezbednost2003005D", url = "conv_630" }
Đorđević, G., Ristić, R., Ratknić, M.,& Mijatović, A.. (2020). Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine. in Bezbednost, Beograd Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije, Beograd., 62(3), 5-21. https://doi.org/10.5937/bezbednost2003005D conv_630
Đorđević G, Ristić R, Ratknić M, Mijatović A. Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine. in Bezbednost, Beograd. 2020;62(3):5-21. doi:10.5937/bezbednost2003005D conv_630 .
Đorđević, Goran, Ristić, Ratko, Ratknić, Mihajlo, Mijatović, Andreja, "Rizik od bujičnih poplava sa posebnim osvrtom na bujične poplave u Braničevskom okrugu u periodu 2015-2018. godine" in Bezbednost, Beograd, 62, no. 3 (2020):5-21, https://doi.org/10.5937/bezbednost2003005D ., conv_630 .