Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources of Serbia

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Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources of Serbia (en)
Оцена утицаја климатских промена на водне ресурсе Србије (sr)
Ocena uticaja klimatskih promena na vodne resurse Srbije (sr_RS)
Authors

Publications

Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment

Đokić, Nikola; Blagojević, Borislava; Mihailović, Vladislava

(Institut za istraživanja i projektovanja u privredi, Beograd, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Đokić, Nikola
AU  - Blagojević, Borislava
AU  - Mihailović, Vladislava
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1223
AB  - Flood flow frequency analysis (FFA) plays one of the key roles in many fields of hydraulic engineering and water resources management. The reliability of FFA results depends on many factors, an obvious one being the reliability of the input data - datasets of the annual peak flow. In practice, however, engineers often encounter the problem of incomplete datasets (missing data, data gaps and/or broken records) which increases the uncertainty of FFA results. In this paper, we perform at-site focused analysis, and we use a complete dataset of annual peak flows from 1931 to 2016 at the hydrologic station Senta of the Tisa (Tisza) river as the reference dataset. From this original dataset we remove some data and thus we obtain 15 new datasets with one continuous gap of different length and/or location. Each dataset we further subject to FFA by using the USACE HEC-SSP Bulletin 17C analysis, where we apply perception thresholds for missing data representation. We vary perception threshold lower bound for all missing flows in one dataset, so that we create 56 variants of the input HEC-SSP datasets. The flood flow quantiles assessed from the datasets with missing data and different perception thresholds we evaluate by two uncertainty measures. The results indicate acceptable flood quantile estimates are obtained, even for larger return periods, by setting a lower perception threshold bound at the value of the highest peak flow in the available - incomplete dataset.
PB  - Institut za istraživanja i projektovanja u privredi, Beograd
T2  - Journal of Applied Engineering Science
T1  - Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment
EP  - 438
IS  - 2
SP  - 432
VL  - 19
DO  - 10.5937/jaes0-28902
UR  - conv_1940
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Đokić, Nikola and Blagojević, Borislava and Mihailović, Vladislava",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Flood flow frequency analysis (FFA) plays one of the key roles in many fields of hydraulic engineering and water resources management. The reliability of FFA results depends on many factors, an obvious one being the reliability of the input data - datasets of the annual peak flow. In practice, however, engineers often encounter the problem of incomplete datasets (missing data, data gaps and/or broken records) which increases the uncertainty of FFA results. In this paper, we perform at-site focused analysis, and we use a complete dataset of annual peak flows from 1931 to 2016 at the hydrologic station Senta of the Tisa (Tisza) river as the reference dataset. From this original dataset we remove some data and thus we obtain 15 new datasets with one continuous gap of different length and/or location. Each dataset we further subject to FFA by using the USACE HEC-SSP Bulletin 17C analysis, where we apply perception thresholds for missing data representation. We vary perception threshold lower bound for all missing flows in one dataset, so that we create 56 variants of the input HEC-SSP datasets. The flood flow quantiles assessed from the datasets with missing data and different perception thresholds we evaluate by two uncertainty measures. The results indicate acceptable flood quantile estimates are obtained, even for larger return periods, by setting a lower perception threshold bound at the value of the highest peak flow in the available - incomplete dataset.",
publisher = "Institut za istraživanja i projektovanja u privredi, Beograd",
journal = "Journal of Applied Engineering Science",
title = "Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment",
pages = "438-432",
number = "2",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.5937/jaes0-28902",
url = "conv_1940"
}
Đokić, N., Blagojević, B.,& Mihailović, V.. (2021). Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment. in Journal of Applied Engineering Science
Institut za istraživanja i projektovanja u privredi, Beograd., 19(2), 432-438.
https://doi.org/10.5937/jaes0-28902
conv_1940
Đokić N, Blagojević B, Mihailović V. Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment. in Journal of Applied Engineering Science. 2021;19(2):432-438.
doi:10.5937/jaes0-28902
conv_1940 .
Đokić, Nikola, Blagojević, Borislava, Mihailović, Vladislava, "Missing data representation by perception thresholds in flood flow frequency assessment" in Journal of Applied Engineering Science, 19, no. 2 (2021):432-438,
https://doi.org/10.5937/jaes0-28902 .,
conv_1940 .

Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave

Blagojević, Borislava; Mihailović, Vladislava; Blagojević, Jovan; Radivojević, Dragan

(Univerzitet u Nišu, Niš, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Blagojević, Borislava
AU  - Mihailović, Vladislava
AU  - Blagojević, Jovan
AU  - Radivojević, Dragan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1230
AB  - U radu je razmatrano osamnaest pokazatelja malih voda u šesnaest profila hidroloških stanica u slivu Južne Morave. Pokazatelji su ocenjeni statističkom analizom i grupisani u hidrološke i ekološke pokazatelje. Sračunata je korelacija između svih pokazatelja. Ekološki protoci u profilima hidroloških stanica dobijeni su metodom GEP. Pokazatelji malih voda su prebačeni na dva neizučena profila korišćenjem regresije sa geo-morfološkim karakteristikama sliva. Podešavanje vrednosti ekološkog protoka u neizučenim profilima urađeno je na bazi pripadnosti slivova donora hidrogeološkim regionima u izučavanoj oblasti.
AB  - Eighteen low flow indicators are considered in the research of sixteen hydrological stations in the Južna Morava river basin. The indicators are estimated by statistical analysis and grouped as hydrological and environmental indicators. A cross-correlation between all indicators is assessed. Environmental flows at hydrologic stations are obtained by the GEP method. The environmental low flow indicators are transferred to two small ungauged basins by regression with physiographic characteristics. The adjustment of environmental flows at ungauged basins is performed according to locations of the donor stations in the hydrogeological regions of the studied area.
PB  - Univerzitet u Nišu, Niš
T2  - Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering
T1  - Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave
T1  - The hydrological and environmental aspect of low flow assessment in ungauged basins: A case study in the Južna Morava river basin
EP  - 278
IS  - 3
SP  - 261
VL  - 19
DO  - 10.2298/FUACE211219020B
UR  - conv_587
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Blagojević, Borislava and Mihailović, Vladislava and Blagojević, Jovan and Radivojević, Dragan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "U radu je razmatrano osamnaest pokazatelja malih voda u šesnaest profila hidroloških stanica u slivu Južne Morave. Pokazatelji su ocenjeni statističkom analizom i grupisani u hidrološke i ekološke pokazatelje. Sračunata je korelacija između svih pokazatelja. Ekološki protoci u profilima hidroloških stanica dobijeni su metodom GEP. Pokazatelji malih voda su prebačeni na dva neizučena profila korišćenjem regresije sa geo-morfološkim karakteristikama sliva. Podešavanje vrednosti ekološkog protoka u neizučenim profilima urađeno je na bazi pripadnosti slivova donora hidrogeološkim regionima u izučavanoj oblasti., Eighteen low flow indicators are considered in the research of sixteen hydrological stations in the Južna Morava river basin. The indicators are estimated by statistical analysis and grouped as hydrological and environmental indicators. A cross-correlation between all indicators is assessed. Environmental flows at hydrologic stations are obtained by the GEP method. The environmental low flow indicators are transferred to two small ungauged basins by regression with physiographic characteristics. The adjustment of environmental flows at ungauged basins is performed according to locations of the donor stations in the hydrogeological regions of the studied area.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Nišu, Niš",
journal = "Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering",
title = "Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave, The hydrological and environmental aspect of low flow assessment in ungauged basins: A case study in the Južna Morava river basin",
pages = "278-261",
number = "3",
volume = "19",
doi = "10.2298/FUACE211219020B",
url = "conv_587"
}
Blagojević, B., Mihailović, V., Blagojević, J.,& Radivojević, D.. (2021). Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave. in Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering
Univerzitet u Nišu, Niš., 19(3), 261-278.
https://doi.org/10.2298/FUACE211219020B
conv_587
Blagojević B, Mihailović V, Blagojević J, Radivojević D. Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave. in Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering. 2021;19(3):261-278.
doi:10.2298/FUACE211219020B
conv_587 .
Blagojević, Borislava, Mihailović, Vladislava, Blagojević, Jovan, Radivojević, Dragan, "Hidrološki i ekološki aspekt proračuna malih voda u neizučenim slivovima - studija slučaja u slivu Južne Morave" in Facta universitatis - series: Architecture and Civil Engineering, 19, no. 3 (2021):261-278,
https://doi.org/10.2298/FUACE211219020B .,
conv_587 .
1

Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka

Blagojević, Jovan; Blagojević, Borislava; Mihailović, Vladislava; Radivojević, Dragan

(Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Blagojević, Jovan
AU  - Blagojević, Borislava
AU  - Mihailović, Vladislava
AU  - Radivojević, Dragan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1096
AB  - U radu je sprovedena analiza prosečnog godišnjeg oticanja za Mali, neizučeni sliv Tulovske reke, u slivu Južne Morave. Primenjene su metoda Turka, metoda Langbajna i regionalni izrazi za dobijanje prosečnog oticaja. Kao ulazni podaci korišćene su srednje temperature, prosečne godišnje padavine na slivu i srednja nadmorska visina sliva. Proračuni su sprovedeni korišćenjem različitih klimatoloških ulaznih podataka, a rezultati su zatim upoređeni. Podaci o padavinama i temperaturi dobijeni su iz digitalnog repozitorijuma projekta CarpatClim u rasterskom formatu, prostorne rezolucije 10 km x 10 km. Korišćene su i vrednosti osmotrene na meteorološkim stanicama RHMZ. Razlike u vrednostima rasterskih i osmotrenih klimatoloških podataka pripisane su uticaju visinske razlike terena, koji rasterski podaci nisu bili u stanju da obuhvate. Analize su pokazale da procenjene vrednosti oticaja mogu da se razlikuju do 50% u zavisnosti od odabira metode i ulaznih podataka.
AB  - An analysis of mean annual runoff was conducted for a small ungauged catchment of the Tulovska River in the South Morava River Basin. Langbein's method, Turk's method and regional regression models were applied for obtaining the mean runoff. Long-term mean temperature, annual precipitation and the mean catchment elevation are used as input data. The estimations were conducted using various sources of climatological input data and the results were then compared. Precipitation and temperature data were derived, in a 10 km x 10 km resolution raster data format, from the digital data repository of the CarpatClim project. Point measurements of temperature and precipitation by the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia were also used as input data and compared with the raster data. The difference between the raster and point meteorological data was attributed to the effects of terrain elevation spatial variability, not captured in the raster data. The analyses showed that the predicted mean runoff can differ up to 50%, depending on the chosen method and the input data.
PB  - Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd
T2  - Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society
T1  - Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka
T1  - Prediction of mean runoff in a small ungauged basin using raster climatological data
EP  - 66
IS  - 2
SP  - 45
VL  - 100
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD2002045B
UR  - conv_1980
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Blagojević, Jovan and Blagojević, Borislava and Mihailović, Vladislava and Radivojević, Dragan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "U radu je sprovedena analiza prosečnog godišnjeg oticanja za Mali, neizučeni sliv Tulovske reke, u slivu Južne Morave. Primenjene su metoda Turka, metoda Langbajna i regionalni izrazi za dobijanje prosečnog oticaja. Kao ulazni podaci korišćene su srednje temperature, prosečne godišnje padavine na slivu i srednja nadmorska visina sliva. Proračuni su sprovedeni korišćenjem različitih klimatoloških ulaznih podataka, a rezultati su zatim upoređeni. Podaci o padavinama i temperaturi dobijeni su iz digitalnog repozitorijuma projekta CarpatClim u rasterskom formatu, prostorne rezolucije 10 km x 10 km. Korišćene su i vrednosti osmotrene na meteorološkim stanicama RHMZ. Razlike u vrednostima rasterskih i osmotrenih klimatoloških podataka pripisane su uticaju visinske razlike terena, koji rasterski podaci nisu bili u stanju da obuhvate. Analize su pokazale da procenjene vrednosti oticaja mogu da se razlikuju do 50% u zavisnosti od odabira metode i ulaznih podataka., An analysis of mean annual runoff was conducted for a small ungauged catchment of the Tulovska River in the South Morava River Basin. Langbein's method, Turk's method and regional regression models were applied for obtaining the mean runoff. Long-term mean temperature, annual precipitation and the mean catchment elevation are used as input data. The estimations were conducted using various sources of climatological input data and the results were then compared. Precipitation and temperature data were derived, in a 10 km x 10 km resolution raster data format, from the digital data repository of the CarpatClim project. Point measurements of temperature and precipitation by the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia were also used as input data and compared with the raster data. The difference between the raster and point meteorological data was attributed to the effects of terrain elevation spatial variability, not captured in the raster data. The analyses showed that the predicted mean runoff can differ up to 50%, depending on the chosen method and the input data.",
publisher = "Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd",
journal = "Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society",
title = "Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka, Prediction of mean runoff in a small ungauged basin using raster climatological data",
pages = "66-45",
number = "2",
volume = "100",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD2002045B",
url = "conv_1980"
}
Blagojević, J., Blagojević, B., Mihailović, V.,& Radivojević, D.. (2020). Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka. in Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society
Srpsko geografsko društvo, Beograd., 100(2), 45-66.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2002045B
conv_1980
Blagojević J, Blagojević B, Mihailović V, Radivojević D. Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka. in Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society. 2020;100(2):45-66.
doi:10.2298/GSGD2002045B
conv_1980 .
Blagojević, Jovan, Blagojević, Borislava, Mihailović, Vladislava, Radivojević, Dragan, "Prosečno oticanje sa malog neizučenog sliva korišćenjem rasterskih klimatoloških podataka" in Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society, 100, no. 2 (2020):45-66,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2002045B .,
conv_1980 .
1

Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100

Vuković, Ana J.; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Rendulić, Sonja M.; Đurđević, Vladimir; Ruml, Mirjana; Babić, Violeta; Popović, Dunja P.

(Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vuković, Ana J.
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Rendulić, Sonja M.
AU  - Đurđević, Vladimir
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Popović, Dunja P.
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/932
AB  - Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100
EP  - 2280
IS  - 6
SP  - 2267
VL  - 22
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI180411168V
UR  - conv_1384
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Vuković, Ana J. and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Rendulić, Sonja M. and Đurđević, Vladimir and Ruml, Mirjana and Babić, Violeta and Popović, Dunja P.",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100",
pages = "2280-2267",
number = "6",
volume = "22",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI180411168V",
url = "conv_1384"
}
Vuković, A. J., Vujadinović, M., Rendulić, S. M., Đurđević, V., Ruml, M., Babić, V.,& Popović, D. P.. (2018). Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 22(6), 2267-2280.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V
conv_1384
Vuković AJ, Vujadinović M, Rendulić SM, Đurđević V, Ruml M, Babić V, Popović DP. Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science. 2018;22(6):2267-2280.
doi:10.2298/TSCI180411168V
conv_1384 .
Vuković, Ana J., Vujadinović, Mirjam, Rendulić, Sonja M., Đurđević, Vladimir, Ruml, Mirjana, Babić, Violeta, Popović, Dunja P., "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100" in Thermal Science, 22, no. 6 (2018):2267-2280,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V .,
conv_1384 .
53
40
48

Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010

Ruml, Mirjana; Gregorić, Enike; Vujadinović, Mirjam; Radovanović, Slavica; Matović, Gordana; Vuković, Ana; Pacuca, Vesna; Petrov, Đurđa

(2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Gregorić, Enike
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Radovanović, Slavica
AU  - Matović, Gordana
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Pacuca, Vesna
AU  - Petrov, Đurđa
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/875
AB  - The analysis of spatiotemporal changes of temperature extremes in Serbia, based on 18 ETCCDI indices, was performed using daily minimum and maximum temperature observations from 26 meteorological stations over the period 1961-2010. The observation period was divided into two sub-periods (1961-1980 and 1981-2010) according to the results of the sequential Mann-Kendall test. Temporal trends were evaluated by a least-squares linear regression method. The average annual minimum temperature displayed a mixed pattern of increasing, decreasing, and no trends over 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend over 1981-2010 across the whole country, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.48 degrees C per decade. The average annual maximum temperature showed a decreasing trend during 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend at all stations during 1981-2010, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.56 degrees C per decade. Hot indices exhibited a general cooling tendency until 1980 and a warming tendency afterwards, with the most pronounced trends in the number of summer and tropical days during the first period and in the frequency of warm days and nights in the second. Cold indices displayed a mostly warming tendency over the entire period, with the most remarkable increase in the lowest annual maximum temperature and the number of ice days during the first period and in the frequency of cool nights during the second. At most stations, the diurnal temperature range showed a decrease until 1980 and no change or a slight increase afterwards. The lengthening of the growing season was much more pronounced in the later period. The computed correlation coefficient between the annual temperature indices and large-scale circulation features revealed that the East Atlantic pattern displayed much stronger association with examined indices than the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic/West Russia pattern.
T2  - Atmospheric Research
T1  - Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010
EP  - 41
SP  - 26
VL  - 183
DO  - 10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
UR  - conv_1232
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ruml, Mirjana and Gregorić, Enike and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Radovanović, Slavica and Matović, Gordana and Vuković, Ana and Pacuca, Vesna and Petrov, Đurđa",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The analysis of spatiotemporal changes of temperature extremes in Serbia, based on 18 ETCCDI indices, was performed using daily minimum and maximum temperature observations from 26 meteorological stations over the period 1961-2010. The observation period was divided into two sub-periods (1961-1980 and 1981-2010) according to the results of the sequential Mann-Kendall test. Temporal trends were evaluated by a least-squares linear regression method. The average annual minimum temperature displayed a mixed pattern of increasing, decreasing, and no trends over 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend over 1981-2010 across the whole country, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.48 degrees C per decade. The average annual maximum temperature showed a decreasing trend during 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend at all stations during 1981-2010, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.56 degrees C per decade. Hot indices exhibited a general cooling tendency until 1980 and a warming tendency afterwards, with the most pronounced trends in the number of summer and tropical days during the first period and in the frequency of warm days and nights in the second. Cold indices displayed a mostly warming tendency over the entire period, with the most remarkable increase in the lowest annual maximum temperature and the number of ice days during the first period and in the frequency of cool nights during the second. At most stations, the diurnal temperature range showed a decrease until 1980 and no change or a slight increase afterwards. The lengthening of the growing season was much more pronounced in the later period. The computed correlation coefficient between the annual temperature indices and large-scale circulation features revealed that the East Atlantic pattern displayed much stronger association with examined indices than the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic/West Russia pattern.",
journal = "Atmospheric Research",
title = "Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010",
pages = "41-26",
volume = "183",
doi = "10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013",
url = "conv_1232"
}
Ruml, M., Gregorić, E., Vujadinović, M., Radovanović, S., Matović, G., Vuković, A., Pacuca, V.,& Petrov, Đ.. (2017). Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010. in Atmospheric Research, 183, 26-41.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
conv_1232
Ruml M, Gregorić E, Vujadinović M, Radovanović S, Matović G, Vuković A, Pacuca V, Petrov Đ. Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010. in Atmospheric Research. 2017;183:26-41.
doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
conv_1232 .
Ruml, Mirjana, Gregorić, Enike, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Radovanović, Slavica, Matović, Gordana, Vuković, Ana, Pacuca, Vesna, Petrov, Đurđa, "Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010" in Atmospheric Research, 183 (2017):26-41,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013 .,
conv_1232 .
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