Ducić, Vladan

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  • Ducić, Vladan (5)
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Author's Bibliography

Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Obradović, Dragan; Dedić, Aleksandar; Burić, Dragan

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Obradović, Dragan
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1387
AB  - Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska pescara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). In settlements in Deliblatska pescara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
T1  - Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
EP  - 168
IS  - 2
SP  - 155
VL  - 73
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2302155M
UR  - conv_1719
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Obradović, Dragan and Dedić, Aleksandar and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska pescara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). In settlements in Deliblatska pescara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p & LE; .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa",
title = "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils",
pages = "168-155",
number = "2",
volume = "73",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2302155M",
url = "conv_1719"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Obradović, D., Dedić, A.,& Burić, D.. (2023). Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 73(2), 155-168.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M
conv_1719
Milenković M, Ducić V, Obradović D, Dedić A, Burić D. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa. 2023;73(2):155-168.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2302155M
conv_1719 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Obradović, Dragan, Dedić, Aleksandar, Burić, Dragan, "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils" in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa, 73, no. 2 (2023):155-168,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M .,
conv_1719 .

Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Babić, Violeta

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1215
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996–2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically non-significant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p ≤ .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (−0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T1  - Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations
IS  - 1
VL  - 69
UR  - conv_2357
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2021",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996–2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically non-significant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p ≤ .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (−0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
title = "Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
number = "1",
volume = "69",
url = "conv_2357"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2021). Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations. 
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1).
conv_2357
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations. 2021;69(1).
conv_2357 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations", 69, no. 1 (2021),
conv_2357 .

Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Babić, Violeta

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1082
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
EP  - 82
IS  - 1
SP  - 75
VL  - 69
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - conv_1420
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
pages = "82-75",
number = "1",
volume = "69",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "conv_1420"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
conv_1420
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
conv_1420 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
conv_1420 .
2
3
3

The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia

Milenković, Milan; Savić, Dragan; Walker, David; Dedić, Aleksandar; Ducić, Vladan

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Savić, Dragan
AU  - Walker, David
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/872
AB  - The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
T1  - The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia
EP  - 144
IS  - 2
SP  - 135
VL  - 67
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702135M
UR  - conv_1299
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Savić, Dragan and Walker, David and Dedić, Aleksandar and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa",
title = "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia",
pages = "144-135",
number = "2",
volume = "67",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702135M",
url = "conv_1299"
}
Milenković, M., Savić, D., Walker, D., Dedić, A.,& Ducić, V.. (2017). The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(2), 135-144.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M
conv_1299
Milenković M, Savić D, Walker D, Dedić A, Ducić V. The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa. 2017;67(2):135-144.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702135M
conv_1299 .
Milenković, Milan, Savić, Dragan, Walker, David, Dedić, Aleksandar, Ducić, Vladan, "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia" in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa, 67, no. 2 (2017):135-144,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M .,
conv_1299 .
1
2

Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)

Milenković, Milan; Yamashkin, Anatoly A.; Ducić, Vladan; Babić, Violeta; Govedar, Zoran

(Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Govedar, Zoran
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/864
AB  - The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.
PB  - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
T2  - Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
T1  - Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)
EP  - 35
IS  - 1
SP  - 27
VL  - 67
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1701027M
UR  - conv_1292
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Ducić, Vladan and Babić, Violeta and Govedar, Zoran",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.",
publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd",
journal = "Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa",
title = "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)",
pages = "35-27",
number = "1",
volume = "67",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1701027M",
url = "conv_1292"
}
Milenković, M., Yamashkin, A. A., Ducić, V., Babić, V.,& Govedar, Z.. (2017). Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa
Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 67(1), 27-35.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M
conv_1292
Milenković M, Yamashkin AA, Ducić V, Babić V, Govedar Z. Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa. 2017;67(1):27-35.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1701027M
conv_1292 .
Milenković, Milan, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Ducić, Vladan, Babić, Violeta, Govedar, Zoran, "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)" in Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic Sasa, 67, no. 1 (2017):27-35,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M .,
conv_1292 .
2
4