TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna
AU  - Jokanović, Dušan
AU  - Savić, Radovan
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Anđelković, Aleksandar
AU  - Lazarević, Katarina
AU  - Kovačević, Ranka
AU  - Momirović, Natalija
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1393
AB  - In the spacious inundation area on the left bank of the lower course of the Sava River in Serbia, there is an abandoned meander Special Nature Reserve, "Obedska bara", which represents a very important floodplain in this part of Europe. This area is characterized by an exceptional wealth of biodiversity with a significant presence of rare and endangered species of national and international importance. Hydrological conditions in the mentioned area were analyzed from the aspect of surface water movement in nature and conditions altered by human factors (after the construction of the road network, canals, etc.). The movement of surface water, i.e., the filling and emptying of the investigated area, parallel to the water level of the Sava River, is shown using a digital terrain model. Our simulation of the change in surface water level within the studied area included the display of underwater areas, both with the formation of a flood wave (i.e., increasing water level of the Sava) and with the outflow of water from the pond when the water level in the Sava was reduced in both scenarios (natural and conditions altered by human factors). GIS and terrain digitalization were used for geospatial and hydrological analyses and, based on this, maps that display endangered areas could be made. The obtained results show that the largest human impact was recorded at the water level of the Sava River 74 m above sea level. The aforementioned water regime changes were shown to negatively affect dominant vegetation, such as pedunculate oak and ash.
T2  - Water
T1  - Monitoring of the Surface Water Regime of the Sava River Alluvium in Serbia Using Geographic Information System (GIS) Techniques
IS  - 23
VL  - 15
DO  - 10.3390/w15234175
UR  - conv_1747
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna and Jokanović, Dušan and Savić, Radovan and Vulević, Tijana and Anđelković, Aleksandar and Lazarević, Katarina and Kovačević, Ranka and Momirović, Natalija",
year = "2023",
abstract = "In the spacious inundation area on the left bank of the lower course of the Sava River in Serbia, there is an abandoned meander Special Nature Reserve, "Obedska bara", which represents a very important floodplain in this part of Europe. This area is characterized by an exceptional wealth of biodiversity with a significant presence of rare and endangered species of national and international importance. Hydrological conditions in the mentioned area were analyzed from the aspect of surface water movement in nature and conditions altered by human factors (after the construction of the road network, canals, etc.). The movement of surface water, i.e., the filling and emptying of the investigated area, parallel to the water level of the Sava River, is shown using a digital terrain model. Our simulation of the change in surface water level within the studied area included the display of underwater areas, both with the formation of a flood wave (i.e., increasing water level of the Sava) and with the outflow of water from the pond when the water level in the Sava was reduced in both scenarios (natural and conditions altered by human factors). GIS and terrain digitalization were used for geospatial and hydrological analyses and, based on this, maps that display endangered areas could be made. The obtained results show that the largest human impact was recorded at the water level of the Sava River 74 m above sea level. The aforementioned water regime changes were shown to negatively affect dominant vegetation, such as pedunculate oak and ash.",
journal = "Water",
title = "Monitoring of the Surface Water Regime of the Sava River Alluvium in Serbia Using Geographic Information System (GIS) Techniques",
number = "23",
volume = "15",
doi = "10.3390/w15234175",
url = "conv_1747"
}

Nikolić-Jokanović, V., Jokanović, D., Savić, R., Vulević, T., Anđelković, A., Lazarević, K., Kovačević, R.,& Momirović, N.. (2023). Monitoring of the Surface Water Regime of the Sava River Alluvium in Serbia Using Geographic Information System (GIS) Techniques. in Water, 15(23).
https://doi.org/10.3390/w15234175
conv_1747

Nikolić-Jokanović V, Jokanović D, Savić R, Vulević T, Anđelković A, Lazarević K, Kovačević R, Momirović N. Monitoring of the Surface Water Regime of the Sava River Alluvium in Serbia Using Geographic Information System (GIS) Techniques. in Water. 2023;15(23).
doi:10.3390/w15234175
conv_1747 .

Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna, Jokanović, Dušan, Savić, Radovan, Vulević, Tijana, Anđelković, Aleksandar, Lazarević, Katarina, Kovačević, Ranka, Momirović, Natalija, "Monitoring of the Surface Water Regime of the Sava River Alluvium in Serbia Using Geographic Information System (GIS) Techniques" in Water, 15, no. 23 (2023),
https://doi.org/10.3390/w15234175 .,
conv_1747 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lazarević, Katarina
AU  - Todosijević, Mirjana
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Polovina, Siniša
AU  - Momirović, Natalija
AU  - Caković, Milica
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1385
AB  - Climate change has a direct impact on flash floods, and indirectly on the environment, society, and economy, due to the rapid development and difficulty of predicting this hydrological phenomenon. The main objective of this study is to assess the potential flash flood hazard areas in the Likodra watershed (218.62 km(2)), one of the most vulnerable parts to flash floods in Serbia, using the flash flood potential index (FFPI) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. Recurring events from 1995 to this day and the devastating impact on settlements of the analyzed area show that this territory is extremely vulnerable. The data used include hydrological statistics (maximum daily rainfall) and spatial data on watershed geographical characteristics (slope, soils, land use, vegetation, drainage density) obtained or derived from various sources (maps, satellite images, digital databases) which were integrated into the GIS environment. The results indicate a severe flash flood hazard level, with high flash flood susceptibility classes occupying 76.20%, 87.78%, and 91.73% of the area, depending on the considered criteria and weights assigned to them.
T2  - Water
T1  - Determination of Flash Flood Hazard Areas in the Likodra Watershed
IS  - 15
VL  - 15
DO  - 10.3390/w15152698
UR  - conv_1717
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Lazarević, Katarina and Todosijević, Mirjana and Vulević, Tijana and Polovina, Siniša and Momirović, Natalija and Caković, Milica",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Climate change has a direct impact on flash floods, and indirectly on the environment, society, and economy, due to the rapid development and difficulty of predicting this hydrological phenomenon. The main objective of this study is to assess the potential flash flood hazard areas in the Likodra watershed (218.62 km(2)), one of the most vulnerable parts to flash floods in Serbia, using the flash flood potential index (FFPI) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method. Recurring events from 1995 to this day and the devastating impact on settlements of the analyzed area show that this territory is extremely vulnerable. The data used include hydrological statistics (maximum daily rainfall) and spatial data on watershed geographical characteristics (slope, soils, land use, vegetation, drainage density) obtained or derived from various sources (maps, satellite images, digital databases) which were integrated into the GIS environment. The results indicate a severe flash flood hazard level, with high flash flood susceptibility classes occupying 76.20%, 87.78%, and 91.73% of the area, depending on the considered criteria and weights assigned to them.",
journal = "Water",
title = "Determination of Flash Flood Hazard Areas in the Likodra Watershed",
number = "15",
volume = "15",
doi = "10.3390/w15152698",
url = "conv_1717"
}

Lazarević, K., Todosijević, M., Vulević, T., Polovina, S., Momirović, N.,& Caković, M.. (2023). Determination of Flash Flood Hazard Areas in the Likodra Watershed. in Water, 15(15).
https://doi.org/10.3390/w15152698
conv_1717

Lazarević K, Todosijević M, Vulević T, Polovina S, Momirović N, Caković M. Determination of Flash Flood Hazard Areas in the Likodra Watershed. in Water. 2023;15(15).
doi:10.3390/w15152698
conv_1717 .

Lazarević, Katarina, Todosijević, Mirjana, Vulević, Tijana, Polovina, Siniša, Momirović, Natalija, Caković, Milica, "Determination of Flash Flood Hazard Areas in the Likodra Watershed" in Water, 15, no. 15 (2023),
https://doi.org/10.3390/w15152698 .,
conv_1717 .

TY  - CHAP
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Kostadinov, Stanimir
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
PY  - 2022
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1294
AB  - Throughout his long history, man has faced the problem of soil erosion and torrential floods as a consequence of erosion, especially when he began to work on food production and to develop agriculture. As a result of food production, the rate of forest removal has increased, especially on slopes with a higher inclination, which has caused a disruption in the natural balance and the beginning of erosion and torrential processes.
PB  - Springer Nature
T2  - Global Degradation of Soil and Water Resources: Regional Assessment and Strategies
T1  - Erosion Control and Torrential Flood Management by Checking Dam Construction in Serbia
EP  - 424
SP  - 415
DO  - 10.1007/978-981-16-7916-2_27
UR  - conv_1911
ER  - 

@inbook{
author = "Dragović, Nada and Kostadinov, Stanimir and Vulević, Tijana",
year = "2022",
abstract = "Throughout his long history, man has faced the problem of soil erosion and torrential floods as a consequence of erosion, especially when he began to work on food production and to develop agriculture. As a result of food production, the rate of forest removal has increased, especially on slopes with a higher inclination, which has caused a disruption in the natural balance and the beginning of erosion and torrential processes.",
publisher = "Springer Nature",
journal = "Global Degradation of Soil and Water Resources: Regional Assessment and Strategies",
booktitle = "Erosion Control and Torrential Flood Management by Checking Dam Construction in Serbia",
pages = "424-415",
doi = "10.1007/978-981-16-7916-2_27",
url = "conv_1911"
}

Dragović, N., Kostadinov, S.,& Vulević, T.. (2022). Erosion Control and Torrential Flood Management by Checking Dam Construction in Serbia. in Global Degradation of Soil and Water Resources: Regional Assessment and Strategies
Springer Nature., 415-424.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7916-2_27
conv_1911

Dragović N, Kostadinov S, Vulević T. Erosion Control and Torrential Flood Management by Checking Dam Construction in Serbia. in Global Degradation of Soil and Water Resources: Regional Assessment and Strategies. 2022;:415-424.
doi:10.1007/978-981-16-7916-2_27
conv_1911 .

Dragović, Nada, Kostadinov, Stanimir, Vulević, Tijana, "Erosion Control and Torrential Flood Management by Checking Dam Construction in Serbia" in Global Degradation of Soil and Water Resources: Regional Assessment and Strategies (2022):415-424,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7916-2_27 .,
conv_1911 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Lazarević, Katarina
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1154
AB  - In this paper, the risk zone mapping of declining lowland forests belonging to "Morovia", management unit "Varadin-Zupanja" (northern Serbia) is performed using geostatistics analysis. Based on the monitoring of groundwater level, the Kriging method has been performed for the spatial distribution of groundwater level for a multiyear period (2010-2013) - reference level and characteristic levels for the wettest and the driest year during the analyzed period. Risk assessment was determined by the variance of characteristics compared to reference levels. Then, multi-criteria decision analysis methods (AHP, PROMETHEE II) were applied to define the rank of each department (smaller forest management units) located in the research area. These analyses are very important because they enable to locate of the area with a high risk of forest decline and to rank departments using criteria: deviation from water level recorded during dry periods, species demand for water, conservation status and purpose of the unit (seed stands or technical wood). The proposed methodology is usable for the determination of the primary localities for the application of management measures conducting on the level of lower planned units (departments) and thus lead to the successful planning and more efficient forest management. Obtained results at the researched area showed that a negative influence on the watering regime has groundwater level decreasing compared to the reference level because it directly affects available water for the plants. Based on multicriteria analysis methods, it was deduced that the most endangered parts are located at the edge, while this risk is much lower in the central part of the management unit. A combination of applied methods (geostatistics and multicriteria analysis) is of great importance for forestry management.
T2  - Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics
T1  - Risk assessment of forest decline by application of geostatistics and multi-criteria analysis
EP  - 292
IS  - 3
SP  - 285
VL  - 68
DO  - 10.2478/johh-2020-0013
UR  - conv_1504
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna and Vulević, Tijana and Lazarević, Katarina",
year = "2020",
abstract = "In this paper, the risk zone mapping of declining lowland forests belonging to "Morovia", management unit "Varadin-Zupanja" (northern Serbia) is performed using geostatistics analysis. Based on the monitoring of groundwater level, the Kriging method has been performed for the spatial distribution of groundwater level for a multiyear period (2010-2013) - reference level and characteristic levels for the wettest and the driest year during the analyzed period. Risk assessment was determined by the variance of characteristics compared to reference levels. Then, multi-criteria decision analysis methods (AHP, PROMETHEE II) were applied to define the rank of each department (smaller forest management units) located in the research area. These analyses are very important because they enable to locate of the area with a high risk of forest decline and to rank departments using criteria: deviation from water level recorded during dry periods, species demand for water, conservation status and purpose of the unit (seed stands or technical wood). The proposed methodology is usable for the determination of the primary localities for the application of management measures conducting on the level of lower planned units (departments) and thus lead to the successful planning and more efficient forest management. Obtained results at the researched area showed that a negative influence on the watering regime has groundwater level decreasing compared to the reference level because it directly affects available water for the plants. Based on multicriteria analysis methods, it was deduced that the most endangered parts are located at the edge, while this risk is much lower in the central part of the management unit. A combination of applied methods (geostatistics and multicriteria analysis) is of great importance for forestry management.",
journal = "Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics",
title = "Risk assessment of forest decline by application of geostatistics and multi-criteria analysis",
pages = "292-285",
number = "3",
volume = "68",
doi = "10.2478/johh-2020-0013",
url = "conv_1504"
}

Nikolić-Jokanović, V., Vulević, T.,& Lazarević, K.. (2020). Risk assessment of forest decline by application of geostatistics and multi-criteria analysis. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 68(3), 285-292.
https://doi.org/10.2478/johh-2020-0013
conv_1504

Nikolić-Jokanović V, Vulević T, Lazarević K. Risk assessment of forest decline by application of geostatistics and multi-criteria analysis. in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics. 2020;68(3):285-292.
doi:10.2478/johh-2020-0013
conv_1504 .

Nikolić-Jokanović, Vesna, Vulević, Tijana, Lazarević, Katarina, "Risk assessment of forest decline by application of geostatistics and multi-criteria analysis" in Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 68, no. 3 (2020):285-292,
https://doi.org/10.2478/johh-2020-0013 .,
conv_1504 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Nešković, Petar
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Panić, Jelena
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1107
AB  - Prilikom izgradnje regulacije nekog vodotoka može doći do pojave velikog broja neočekivanih događaja koji su rizični po ishod projekta. Rizični događaji za posledicu mogu imati probijanje vremenskih rokova, povećanje troškova, smanjenje kvaliteta i dr. U radu je izvršena analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka pri čemu je u svakoj fazi analize korišćena odgovarajuća metoda koja za tu fazu daje najbolje rezultate. Za identifikaciju rizičnih događaja korišćena je HAZOP metoda, za njihovu ocenu matrica rizika, za predlog akcija u smanjenju mogućnosti njihovog pojavljivanja FMEA metoda, za određivanje uzroka njihove pojave Metoda stabla neispravnosti i za određivanje mogućih ishoda rizičnih događaja Metoda stabla događaja. Dobijeni rezultati pokazali su da je ključni rizični događaj "Iskopan je samo deo planirane zemlje", tako da će u radu biti prikazani rezultati koji se tiču zemljanih radova iako se analiza odnosila na celokupan pojekat regulacije.
AB  - During the construction of the regulation of a watercourse, a large number of unexpected events can occur and increase the risk associated with the project hindering its successful realization. Risk events can result in breaking deadlines, increasing costs, reducing quality, etc. This paper analyzes the risk in the implementation of the Medalj stream regulation project, using the appropriate method that gives the best results for each phase of the risk analysis. Thus, the HAZOP method was used to identify risk events, the risk matrix to define the level of risk, the FMEA method to propose actions to reduce the possibility of risk event occurrence, the Fault tree method to determine the cause of risk event occurrence and the Event tree method to determine possible outcomes of risk events. The obtained results showed that the key risk event was "Only a part of the planned soil excavated", so the paper will present the results related to earthworks, although the analysis referred to the entire project.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd
T2  - Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta
T1  - Analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka
T1  - Risk analysis in the implementation of a Medalj stream regulation project
EP  - 106
IS  - 122
SP  - 91
DO  - 10.2298/GSF2022091N
UR  - conv_505
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Nešković, Petar and Dragović, Nada and Vulević, Tijana and Panić, Jelena",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Prilikom izgradnje regulacije nekog vodotoka može doći do pojave velikog broja neočekivanih događaja koji su rizični po ishod projekta. Rizični događaji za posledicu mogu imati probijanje vremenskih rokova, povećanje troškova, smanjenje kvaliteta i dr. U radu je izvršena analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka pri čemu je u svakoj fazi analize korišćena odgovarajuća metoda koja za tu fazu daje najbolje rezultate. Za identifikaciju rizičnih događaja korišćena je HAZOP metoda, za njihovu ocenu matrica rizika, za predlog akcija u smanjenju mogućnosti njihovog pojavljivanja FMEA metoda, za određivanje uzroka njihove pojave Metoda stabla neispravnosti i za određivanje mogućih ishoda rizičnih događaja Metoda stabla događaja. Dobijeni rezultati pokazali su da je ključni rizični događaj "Iskopan je samo deo planirane zemlje", tako da će u radu biti prikazani rezultati koji se tiču zemljanih radova iako se analiza odnosila na celokupan pojekat regulacije., During the construction of the regulation of a watercourse, a large number of unexpected events can occur and increase the risk associated with the project hindering its successful realization. Risk events can result in breaking deadlines, increasing costs, reducing quality, etc. This paper analyzes the risk in the implementation of the Medalj stream regulation project, using the appropriate method that gives the best results for each phase of the risk analysis. Thus, the HAZOP method was used to identify risk events, the risk matrix to define the level of risk, the FMEA method to propose actions to reduce the possibility of risk event occurrence, the Fault tree method to determine the cause of risk event occurrence and the Event tree method to determine possible outcomes of risk events. The obtained results showed that the key risk event was "Only a part of the planned soil excavated", so the paper will present the results related to earthworks, although the analysis referred to the entire project.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd",
journal = "Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta",
title = "Analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka, Risk analysis in the implementation of a Medalj stream regulation project",
pages = "106-91",
number = "122",
doi = "10.2298/GSF2022091N",
url = "conv_505"
}

Nešković, P., Dragović, N., Vulević, T.,& Panić, J.. (2020). Analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka. in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd.(122), 91-106.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSF2022091N
conv_505

Nešković P, Dragović N, Vulević T, Panić J. Analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka. in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta. 2020;(122):91-106.
doi:10.2298/GSF2022091N
conv_505 .

Nešković, Petar, Dragović, Nada, Vulević, Tijana, Panić, Jelena, "Analiza rizika u realizaciji projekta regulacije Medalj potoka" in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta, no. 122 (2020):91-106,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSF2022091N .,
conv_505 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Baumgertel, Aleksandar
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Lukić, Sara
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1049
AB  - This paper aimed to estimate the contingency reserves for the project related to the integrated management of Topciderska river in Serbia watershed, in the context of cost management, as a part of the risk analysis. The Monte Carlo simulation was used to determine the reserves. After the simulation, the distribution of probability for technical and biological works and distribution of probability of total costs was obtained. Cost contingency reserves are determined based on the difference between the costs specified by the project budget and the simulated total costs with 90% probability of occurrence. The cost reserve for the execution of the project amounted 19.45% of the total costs of estimated bill of quantities.
T2  - Wasserwirtschaft
T1  - Cost management as a part of integrated management of torrential watershed in Serbia: a case study of Topciderska River
EP  - 38
IS  - 4
SP  - 33
VL  - 109
DO  - 10.1007/s35147-019-0023-9
UR  - conv_1402
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Baumgertel, Aleksandar and Dragović, Nada and Vulević, Tijana and Lukić, Sara",
year = "2019",
abstract = "This paper aimed to estimate the contingency reserves for the project related to the integrated management of Topciderska river in Serbia watershed, in the context of cost management, as a part of the risk analysis. The Monte Carlo simulation was used to determine the reserves. After the simulation, the distribution of probability for technical and biological works and distribution of probability of total costs was obtained. Cost contingency reserves are determined based on the difference between the costs specified by the project budget and the simulated total costs with 90% probability of occurrence. The cost reserve for the execution of the project amounted 19.45% of the total costs of estimated bill of quantities.",
journal = "Wasserwirtschaft",
title = "Cost management as a part of integrated management of torrential watershed in Serbia: a case study of Topciderska River",
pages = "38-33",
number = "4",
volume = "109",
doi = "10.1007/s35147-019-0023-9",
url = "conv_1402"
}

Baumgertel, A., Dragović, N., Vulević, T.,& Lukić, S.. (2019). Cost management as a part of integrated management of torrential watershed in Serbia: a case study of Topciderska River. in Wasserwirtschaft, 109(4), 33-38.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s35147-019-0023-9
conv_1402

Baumgertel A, Dragović N, Vulević T, Lukić S. Cost management as a part of integrated management of torrential watershed in Serbia: a case study of Topciderska River. in Wasserwirtschaft. 2019;109(4):33-38.
doi:10.1007/s35147-019-0023-9
conv_1402 .

Baumgertel, Aleksandar, Dragović, Nada, Vulević, Tijana, Lukić, Sara, "Cost management as a part of integrated management of torrential watershed in Serbia: a case study of Topciderska River" in Wasserwirtschaft, 109, no. 4 (2019):33-38,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s35147-019-0023-9 .,
conv_1402 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Todosijević, Mirjana
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Zlatić, Miodrag
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/908
AB  - This study analyses the possibilities for optimal land use structure in mountainous areas of rural Serbia, which is faced with problems such as unfavorable terrain characteristics and inadequate land use patterns causing economic underdevelopment and increasing population migration. In the case of a small privately owned farm in Western Serbia, optimal land use pattern is determined using the linear programming model. The objective function-cost-effectiveness or soil erosion reduction, as well as constraints, are formulated using the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) for a 15-year production period and soil losses data calculated using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE). The best results are achieved using the scenario with the aim to minimize soil erosion, considering the BCR in the constraints. This scenario is proposed since it was registered that the benefit for landowners would increase by five times, while the losses of land would decline about 80%. The sensitivity analysis of investments is performed to check whether the price variation affects the cost-effectiveness of proposed land use. Results show that market changes (nine cases are considered) do not lead to significant changes in land use allocation. Proposed land use pattern improves the environmental condition, strengthens the rural economy and thus offers the greatest potential for sustainable development of mountainous rural areas.
T2  - Journal of Mountain Science
T1  - Land use optimization for sustainable development of mountain regions of western Serbia
EP  - 1480
IS  - 7
SP  - 1471
VL  - 15
DO  - 10.1007/s11629-017-4777-1
UR  - conv_1357
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vulević, Tijana and Todosijević, Mirjana and Dragović, Nada and Zlatić, Miodrag",
year = "2018",
abstract = "This study analyses the possibilities for optimal land use structure in mountainous areas of rural Serbia, which is faced with problems such as unfavorable terrain characteristics and inadequate land use patterns causing economic underdevelopment and increasing population migration. In the case of a small privately owned farm in Western Serbia, optimal land use pattern is determined using the linear programming model. The objective function-cost-effectiveness or soil erosion reduction, as well as constraints, are formulated using the benefit-cost ratio (BCR) for a 15-year production period and soil losses data calculated using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE). The best results are achieved using the scenario with the aim to minimize soil erosion, considering the BCR in the constraints. This scenario is proposed since it was registered that the benefit for landowners would increase by five times, while the losses of land would decline about 80%. The sensitivity analysis of investments is performed to check whether the price variation affects the cost-effectiveness of proposed land use. Results show that market changes (nine cases are considered) do not lead to significant changes in land use allocation. Proposed land use pattern improves the environmental condition, strengthens the rural economy and thus offers the greatest potential for sustainable development of mountainous rural areas.",
journal = "Journal of Mountain Science",
title = "Land use optimization for sustainable development of mountain regions of western Serbia",
pages = "1480-1471",
number = "7",
volume = "15",
doi = "10.1007/s11629-017-4777-1",
url = "conv_1357"
}

Vulević, T., Todosijević, M., Dragović, N.,& Zlatić, M.. (2018). Land use optimization for sustainable development of mountain regions of western Serbia. in Journal of Mountain Science, 15(7), 1471-1480.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4777-1
conv_1357

Vulević T, Todosijević M, Dragović N, Zlatić M. Land use optimization for sustainable development of mountain regions of western Serbia. in Journal of Mountain Science. 2018;15(7):1471-1480.
doi:10.1007/s11629-017-4777-1
conv_1357 .

Vulević, Tijana, Todosijević, Mirjana, Dragović, Nada, Zlatić, Miodrag, "Land use optimization for sustainable development of mountain regions of western Serbia" in Journal of Mountain Science, 15, no. 7 (2018):1471-1480,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4777-1 .,
conv_1357 .

TY  - CONF
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Zlatić, Miodrag
AU  - Ristić, Ratko
AU  - Todosijević, Mirjana
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/897
AB  - The aim of this paper is to make a comparative analysis of the legislative framework for soil and water resource management in Serbia and some Balkan region countries with an established EU legislative framework and give recommendations to improve policy management in this area. The EU has developed a better legal framework for water resources in relation to the soil resources. The Water Framework Directive which was adopted in 2000 is the umbrella legislative framework for the later adoption of many important documents in the field of the water policy related to: the river basin management, flood protection, water quality protection and others. In 2006 the EU adopted the Soil Thematic Strategy, a very important document in the context of the management of soil resources that had emerged as a need to protect the basic functions of soil threatened by severe degradation processes. The Strategy included a proposal for the Soil Framework Directive, but unfortunately, this Directive has not been adopted yet. After adaptation of the EU Water Framework Directive, Serbia adopted the Water Law, which is partly harmonized with the EU Directive and has several significant drawbacks. The soil protection provisions in Serbia could be found in several laws: the Law of Agricultural Land, the Law on Environmental Protection and other legal and strategic documents. The most important law concerning soil protection in Serbia was the Law on Soil Protection adopted in December 2015. In addition to the analysis of the soil and water legal framework in Serbia, this paper analyzes the laws that have been enacted in the area of these two resources so far and their compliance with the EU directives, as well as those laws enacted in some countries in the region. From the neighboring countries, the analysis was carried out for Macedonia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Croatia. The selection of these countries was carried out for several reasons: firstly these countries are the former Republics of Yugoslavia, which had the same legal framework that has evolved in different ways, being more or less compliant with the legal framework of the EU.
C3  - Soil and Water Resources Protection in the Changing Environment
T1  - Compliance of the legal framework for soil and water resources management in Serbia and some regional countries with the EU legislation
EP  - 288
SP  - 269
VL  - 45
UR  - conv_1416
ER  - 

@conference{
author = "Dragović, Nada and Vulević, Tijana and Zlatić, Miodrag and Ristić, Ratko and Todosijević, Mirjana",
year = "2018",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to make a comparative analysis of the legislative framework for soil and water resource management in Serbia and some Balkan region countries with an established EU legislative framework and give recommendations to improve policy management in this area. The EU has developed a better legal framework for water resources in relation to the soil resources. The Water Framework Directive which was adopted in 2000 is the umbrella legislative framework for the later adoption of many important documents in the field of the water policy related to: the river basin management, flood protection, water quality protection and others. In 2006 the EU adopted the Soil Thematic Strategy, a very important document in the context of the management of soil resources that had emerged as a need to protect the basic functions of soil threatened by severe degradation processes. The Strategy included a proposal for the Soil Framework Directive, but unfortunately, this Directive has not been adopted yet. After adaptation of the EU Water Framework Directive, Serbia adopted the Water Law, which is partly harmonized with the EU Directive and has several significant drawbacks. The soil protection provisions in Serbia could be found in several laws: the Law of Agricultural Land, the Law on Environmental Protection and other legal and strategic documents. The most important law concerning soil protection in Serbia was the Law on Soil Protection adopted in December 2015. In addition to the analysis of the soil and water legal framework in Serbia, this paper analyzes the laws that have been enacted in the area of these two resources so far and their compliance with the EU directives, as well as those laws enacted in some countries in the region. From the neighboring countries, the analysis was carried out for Macedonia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Croatia. The selection of these countries was carried out for several reasons: firstly these countries are the former Republics of Yugoslavia, which had the same legal framework that has evolved in different ways, being more or less compliant with the legal framework of the EU.",
journal = "Soil and Water Resources Protection in the Changing Environment",
title = "Compliance of the legal framework for soil and water resources management in Serbia and some regional countries with the EU legislation",
pages = "288-269",
volume = "45",
url = "conv_1416"
}

Dragović, N., Vulević, T., Zlatić, M., Ristić, R.,& Todosijević, M.. (2018). Compliance of the legal framework for soil and water resources management in Serbia and some regional countries with the EU legislation. in Soil and Water Resources Protection in the Changing Environment, 45, 269-288.
conv_1416

Dragović N, Vulević T, Zlatić M, Ristić R, Todosijević M. Compliance of the legal framework for soil and water resources management in Serbia and some regional countries with the EU legislation. in Soil and Water Resources Protection in the Changing Environment. 2018;45:269-288.
conv_1416 .

Dragović, Nada, Vulević, Tijana, Zlatić, Miodrag, Ristić, Ratko, Todosijević, Mirjana, "Compliance of the legal framework for soil and water resources management in Serbia and some regional countries with the EU legislation" in Soil and Water Resources Protection in the Changing Environment, 45 (2018):269-288,
conv_1416 .

TY  - THES
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/handle/123456789/10483
UR  - http://eteze.bg.ac.rs/application/showtheses?thesesId=6392
UR  - https://fedorabg.bg.ac.rs/fedora/get/o:19086/bdef:Content/download
UR  - http://vbs.rs/scripts/cobiss?command=DISPLAY&base=70036&RID=513638556
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/41
AB  - Primena metoda višekriterijumskog odlučivanja u oblasti zaštite od erozije i bujica, sa ciljem konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja centralne Srbije predstavlja predmet ove disertacije. Geografsko područje istraživanja predstavljaju sliv Topčiderske reke, sliv reke Toplice i sliv reke Rasine, koji su klasifikovani u sistem podslivova. Vrednosti kriterijuma za procenu erozije zemljišta: načina korišćenja zemljišta, erodibilnosti zemljišta, kišnog faktora i topografskog faktora (RUSLE metoda), kao i vrednosti 10 morfometrijskih parametara korišćenih za procenu opasnosti od bujičnih poplava (površina podsliva, relativni pad toka, srednji pad podsliva, koeficijent erozione energije reljefa, geomorfološko-erozioni koeficijent itd.) su utvrđeni analizom odgovarajućih podloga uz primenu GIS-a. U radu su primenjene metode višekriterijumske analize: AHP, WSM, ELECTRE II i PROMETHEE II. Pomoću ovih metoda su određene težine kriterijuma i rangirani podslivovi prema ugroženosti erozijom i prema ugroženosti od bujičnih poplava. Izdvojeni su podslivovi prvog ranga, gde je potrebno primeniti konzervacione mere i radove. Pomenute metode višekriterijumske analize su primenjene i za: izbor bujičnih slivova gde će se graditi pregrade (kao tehnički radovi u koritu bujičnih vodotokova), izbor najprihvatljivije kombinacije pregrada, kao i profila za njihovu izgradnju. Na terenu su registrovana oštećenja pregrada i predložena je formula za prioritizaciju njihovog saniranja. Metode višekriterijumske optimizacije (metoda ograničenja i metoda težinskih koeficijenata) su primenjene za izbor optimalne strukture načina korišćenja zemljišta, kao i optimizaciju podizanja terasa kao konzervacione mere. Predložen je model integralnog uređenja sliva, gde bi primena metoda višekriterijumske analize omogućila izbor najprihvatljivije kombinacije mera i radova za redukciju/prevenciju erozije i bujica.
AB  - Application of multi-criteria decision-making in the field of soil erosion protection and torrents control, with the aim of conservation of soil and water resources in hilly-mountainous areas of central Serbia, represents the subject of the thesis. Тhe geographical area of research includes: Topciderska River, Toplica River and Rasina River Watershed, which are classified in the sub-watershed system. Тhe values of criteria for estimating soil erosion are: land use, soil erodibility, rainfall erosivity factor and topographical factor (RUSLE method), as well as the value of 10 morphometric parameters used to estimate the risk of torrential floods (sub-watershed area, relative slope of the river bed, the mean sub-watershed slope, the coefficient of erosion energy of relief, geomorphological-erosion coefficient) are established by using relevant maps and GIS technique. In the paper, there have been applied various methods of multi-criteria analysis, such as: AHP, WSM, ELECTRE II PROMETHEE II. Using these methods, criteria weights are determined, and sub-watershed ranking is performed according to the vulnerability to erosion and torrential flooding. The first order sub-watershed, represents the area where implementation of conservation measures should be urgently performed. The above-mentioned multi-criteria analysis methods have been applied for: selection of watersheds for check dam construction (such a technical work in the bed of torrential streams), then, a selection of the most appropriate combination of check dams, as well as profiles for their construction. In the field are registered damage of check dam, and based on this, the formula for prioritizing the rehabilitation of check dams is proposed. Multi-criteria optimization methods (Constrained method and Method of weight coefficients) have been used for the selection of the optimal structure of land use in the sub-watershed, as well as the optimization of terrace construction as a conservation measure. A model of integrated watershed management has been proposed, where the application of the multi-criteria analysis method, would provide a selection of the most appropriate combination of measures and works for the reduction / prevention of erosion and torrents.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu, Šumarski fakultet
T1  - Višekriterijumsko odlučivanje u funkciji konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja Centralne Srbije
T1  - Multi-criteria decision making in a function of soil and water resources conservation in hilly- mountainous areas of central Serbia
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_10483
UR  - t-5083
ER  - 

@phdthesis{
author = "Vulević, Tijana",
year = "2017",
abstract = "Primena metoda višekriterijumskog odlučivanja u oblasti zaštite od erozije i bujica, sa ciljem konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja centralne Srbije predstavlja predmet ove disertacije. Geografsko područje istraživanja predstavljaju sliv Topčiderske reke, sliv reke Toplice i sliv reke Rasine, koji su klasifikovani u sistem podslivova. Vrednosti kriterijuma za procenu erozije zemljišta: načina korišćenja zemljišta, erodibilnosti zemljišta, kišnog faktora i topografskog faktora (RUSLE metoda), kao i vrednosti 10 morfometrijskih parametara korišćenih za procenu opasnosti od bujičnih poplava (površina podsliva, relativni pad toka, srednji pad podsliva, koeficijent erozione energije reljefa, geomorfološko-erozioni koeficijent itd.) su utvrđeni analizom odgovarajućih podloga uz primenu GIS-a. U radu su primenjene metode višekriterijumske analize: AHP, WSM, ELECTRE II i PROMETHEE II. Pomoću ovih metoda su određene težine kriterijuma i rangirani podslivovi prema ugroženosti erozijom i prema ugroženosti od bujičnih poplava. Izdvojeni su podslivovi prvog ranga, gde je potrebno primeniti konzervacione mere i radove. Pomenute metode višekriterijumske analize su primenjene i za: izbor bujičnih slivova gde će se graditi pregrade (kao tehnički radovi u koritu bujičnih vodotokova), izbor najprihvatljivije kombinacije pregrada, kao i profila za njihovu izgradnju. Na terenu su registrovana oštećenja pregrada i predložena je formula za prioritizaciju njihovog saniranja. Metode višekriterijumske optimizacije (metoda ograničenja i metoda težinskih koeficijenata) su primenjene za izbor optimalne strukture načina korišćenja zemljišta, kao i optimizaciju podizanja terasa kao konzervacione mere. Predložen je model integralnog uređenja sliva, gde bi primena metoda višekriterijumske analize omogućila izbor najprihvatljivije kombinacije mera i radova za redukciju/prevenciju erozije i bujica., Application of multi-criteria decision-making in the field of soil erosion protection and torrents control, with the aim of conservation of soil and water resources in hilly-mountainous areas of central Serbia, represents the subject of the thesis. Тhe geographical area of research includes: Topciderska River, Toplica River and Rasina River Watershed, which are classified in the sub-watershed system. Тhe values of criteria for estimating soil erosion are: land use, soil erodibility, rainfall erosivity factor and topographical factor (RUSLE method), as well as the value of 10 morphometric parameters used to estimate the risk of torrential floods (sub-watershed area, relative slope of the river bed, the mean sub-watershed slope, the coefficient of erosion energy of relief, geomorphological-erosion coefficient) are established by using relevant maps and GIS technique. In the paper, there have been applied various methods of multi-criteria analysis, such as: AHP, WSM, ELECTRE II PROMETHEE II. Using these methods, criteria weights are determined, and sub-watershed ranking is performed according to the vulnerability to erosion and torrential flooding. The first order sub-watershed, represents the area where implementation of conservation measures should be urgently performed. The above-mentioned multi-criteria analysis methods have been applied for: selection of watersheds for check dam construction (such a technical work in the bed of torrential streams), then, a selection of the most appropriate combination of check dams, as well as profiles for their construction. In the field are registered damage of check dam, and based on this, the formula for prioritizing the rehabilitation of check dams is proposed. Multi-criteria optimization methods (Constrained method and Method of weight coefficients) have been used for the selection of the optimal structure of land use in the sub-watershed, as well as the optimization of terrace construction as a conservation measure. A model of integrated watershed management has been proposed, where the application of the multi-criteria analysis method, would provide a selection of the most appropriate combination of measures and works for the reduction / prevention of erosion and torrents.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu, Šumarski fakultet",
title = "Višekriterijumsko odlučivanje u funkciji konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja Centralne Srbije, Multi-criteria decision making in a function of soil and water resources conservation in hilly- mountainous areas of central Serbia",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_10483, t-5083"
}

Vulević, T.. (2017). Višekriterijumsko odlučivanje u funkciji konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja Centralne Srbije. 
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Šumarski fakultet..
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_10483

Vulević T. Višekriterijumsko odlučivanje u funkciji konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja Centralne Srbije. 2017;.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_10483 .

Vulević, Tijana, "Višekriterijumsko odlučivanje u funkciji konzervacije zemljišnih i vodnih resursa brdsko-planinskih područja Centralne Srbije" (2017),
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_10483 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Dragović, Nada
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/859
AB  - Soil and water resources are important elements of the environment that is managed to reduce the erosion rate and the destructive effects of torrential flooding. Implementation of the measures to reach this goal requires the ranking of sub-watersheds and areas within the sub-watersheds, from most to least vulnerable, which can be achieved using Multi-criteria decision analysis methods. In this paper, using the Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE) II method ranking of nine sub-watersheds delineated in the Topciderska river watershed, Serbia, was performed by using ArcGIS software. The criteria used for determining the order of the most vulnerable sub-watersheds are land cover, rainfall, soil erodibility as well as topography. The importance of criteria was determined by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method, and the influence of the criteria weights on ranking results was tested. This research identified that the most vulnerable sub-watershed is located in the upper part of the study area, where 15% of the territory is at high risk of erosion. Thus, this sub-watershed should have priority for protection through the implementation of appropriate measures and works. The results of the PROMETHEE II method and the ArcGIS application represent the valuable information for watershed management planning and implementation of soil erosion and torrent control measures.
T2  - International Soil and Water Conservation Research
T1  - Multi-criteria decision analysis for sub-watersheds ranking via the PROMETHEE method
EP  - 55
IS  - 1
SP  - 50
VL  - 5
DO  - 10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.01.003
UR  - conv_1306
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vulević, Tijana and Dragović, Nada",
year = "2017",
abstract = "Soil and water resources are important elements of the environment that is managed to reduce the erosion rate and the destructive effects of torrential flooding. Implementation of the measures to reach this goal requires the ranking of sub-watersheds and areas within the sub-watersheds, from most to least vulnerable, which can be achieved using Multi-criteria decision analysis methods. In this paper, using the Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE) II method ranking of nine sub-watersheds delineated in the Topciderska river watershed, Serbia, was performed by using ArcGIS software. The criteria used for determining the order of the most vulnerable sub-watersheds are land cover, rainfall, soil erodibility as well as topography. The importance of criteria was determined by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method, and the influence of the criteria weights on ranking results was tested. This research identified that the most vulnerable sub-watershed is located in the upper part of the study area, where 15% of the territory is at high risk of erosion. Thus, this sub-watershed should have priority for protection through the implementation of appropriate measures and works. The results of the PROMETHEE II method and the ArcGIS application represent the valuable information for watershed management planning and implementation of soil erosion and torrent control measures.",
journal = "International Soil and Water Conservation Research",
title = "Multi-criteria decision analysis for sub-watersheds ranking via the PROMETHEE method",
pages = "55-50",
number = "1",
volume = "5",
doi = "10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.01.003",
url = "conv_1306"
}

Vulević, T.,& Dragović, N.. (2017). Multi-criteria decision analysis for sub-watersheds ranking via the PROMETHEE method. in International Soil and Water Conservation Research, 5(1), 50-55.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.01.003
conv_1306

Vulević T, Dragović N. Multi-criteria decision analysis for sub-watersheds ranking via the PROMETHEE method. in International Soil and Water Conservation Research. 2017;5(1):50-55.
doi:10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.01.003
conv_1306 .

Vulević, Tijana, Dragović, Nada, "Multi-criteria decision analysis for sub-watersheds ranking via the PROMETHEE method" in International Soil and Water Conservation Research, 5, no. 1 (2017):50-55,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iswcr.2017.01.003 .,
conv_1306 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Todosijević, Mirjana
AU  - Kostadinov, Stanimir
AU  - Zlatić, Miodrag
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/808
AB  - The most important elements in the planning of the implementation of the torrent (flood) control projects which need to be estimated are time, costs (budget) and resource required. These three elements are interactive: a shorter duration of structure construction causes additional resources engagement and increased costs, and vice versa - greater costs provide a shorter duration of construction. This paper analysis direct project cost minimization for four torrent control projects. The construction duration and the dynamic plan of project activities have been determined using the CPM method of network planning. The optimization problem - minimization of direct cost of construction subject to constraints such as: given deadline, precedence constraints, and upper and lower bounded duration time of activities is solved using linear programming and Matlab toolbox. Our results show that applied methods ensure significant cost savings, which is an important challenge in the construction management.
PB  - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek
T2  - Tehnički vjesnik
T1  - Minimization of direct costs in the construction of torrent control structures
EP  - 1128
IS  - 4
SP  - 1123
VL  - 24
UR  - conv_2392
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Dragović, Nada and Vulević, Tijana and Todosijević, Mirjana and Kostadinov, Stanimir and Zlatić, Miodrag",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The most important elements in the planning of the implementation of the torrent (flood) control projects which need to be estimated are time, costs (budget) and resource required. These three elements are interactive: a shorter duration of structure construction causes additional resources engagement and increased costs, and vice versa - greater costs provide a shorter duration of construction. This paper analysis direct project cost minimization for four torrent control projects. The construction duration and the dynamic plan of project activities have been determined using the CPM method of network planning. The optimization problem - minimization of direct cost of construction subject to constraints such as: given deadline, precedence constraints, and upper and lower bounded duration time of activities is solved using linear programming and Matlab toolbox. Our results show that applied methods ensure significant cost savings, which is an important challenge in the construction management.",
publisher = "Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek",
journal = "Tehnički vjesnik",
title = "Minimization of direct costs in the construction of torrent control structures",
pages = "1128-1123",
number = "4",
volume = "24",
url = "conv_2392"
}

Dragović, N., Vulević, T., Todosijević, M., Kostadinov, S.,& Zlatić, M.. (2017). Minimization of direct costs in the construction of torrent control structures. in Tehnički vjesnik
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek., 24(4), 1123-1128.
conv_2392

Dragović N, Vulević T, Todosijević M, Kostadinov S, Zlatić M. Minimization of direct costs in the construction of torrent control structures. in Tehnički vjesnik. 2017;24(4):1123-1128.
conv_2392 .

Dragović, Nada, Vulević, Tijana, Todosijević, Mirjana, Kostadinov, Stanimir, Zlatić, Miodrag, "Minimization of direct costs in the construction of torrent control structures" in Tehnički vjesnik, 24, no. 4 (2017):1123-1128,
conv_2392 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Baumgertel, Aleksandar
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/742
AB  - Kod realizacije projekata za uređenje bujičnih slivova mogu da se pojave različiti nepredviđeni nepovoljni događaji koji za posledicu imaju prekoračenje vremena, povećanje troškova, smanjenje kvaliteta i dr. U radu su prikazane osnovne karakteristike protiverozionih radova i rizici koji se najčešće pojavljuju kod njihovog izvođenja. Takođe, daje se kratak prikaz upravljanja rizicima kroz osnovne faze, od identifikacije rizika, analize rizika do reakcije na rizik, kao i prikaz metoda koje se koriste u analizi rizika. U okviru kvantitativnih metoda prikazane su matematičke simulacije. Monte Carlo metod je stohastička simulaciona metoda koja zahteva sledeće korake u primeni: identifikacija kriterijumske i relevantnih promenljivih, dodela raspodele verovatnoće za relevantne promenljive, određivanje koeficijenta korelacije među relevantnim promenljivim, izvođenje simulacije i analiza rezultata. Ovom metodom izvršena je analiza ukupnih troškova realizacije projekta regulacije reke Dumača u cilju iznalaženja količine finansijskih sredstava koja bi se koristila kao rezerva u slučaju nepredviđenih nepovoljnih događaja. Projektom regulacije reke Dumača predviđeno je uređenje korita u formi složenog proticajnog profila sa oblaganjem zona gde je to neophodno sa aspekta stabilnosti. Ukupni troškovi su predstavljeni kao zbir troškova svih grupa radova (pripremni, zemljani, zidarski, betonski i završni). Monte Carlo simulacija za analizu troškova izvršena je pomoću programa Oracle Crystal Ball čiji osnovni koraci za primenu su opisani u radu. Na osnovu simuliranih ukupnih troškova realizacije projekta dobijena je suma finansijskih sredstava potrebna kao rezerva u slučaju nepredviđenih događaja.
AB  - Projects for the regulation of torrent basins carry various unforeseen adverse effects that may result in breached deadlines, increased costs, a reduction of quality etc. The paper presents the basic characteristics and most frequent risks associated with erosion control. Furthermore, it provides an overview of risk management through its basic stages - starting from risk identification and risk analysis to risk responses, including the methods used for risk analysis. As a part of quantitative methods for risk analysis, the Monte Carlo method is presented as the one most frequently used in simulations. The Monte Carlo method is a stochastic simulation method consisting of the following stages: the identification of criterion and relevant variables, the allocation of probability for relevant variables, the determination of correlation coefficient among relevant variables, simulation execution and result analysis. This method was applied in the analysis of the total cost of the project for the basin regulation of the Dumača River in order to determine the funding that would be used as a backup in case of unforeseen events with a negative impact. The project for the regulation of the Dumača River includes basin regulation in the form of complex flow profile and the lining of zones where necessary in terms of stability. The total cost is presented as a sum of costs of all works (preliminary works, earthworks, masonry works, concrete works and finishing works). The Monte Carlo simulation for cost analysis is carried out using the Oracle Crystal Ball software with its basic steps described in the paper. A sum of funding needed as a financial backup in case of unforeseen events with negative effects is obtained as the simulated total cost of the project.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd
T2  - Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta
T1  - Upravljanje rizicima na realizaciji projekta za odbranu od bujičnih poplava primenom Monte Carlo simulacije
T1  - Risk management of a torrential flood construction project using the Monte Carlo simulation
EP  - 44
IS  - 114
SP  - 29
DO  - 10.2298/GSF1614029B
UR  - conv_440
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Baumgertel, Aleksandar and Dragović, Nada and Vulević, Tijana",
year = "2016",
abstract = "Kod realizacije projekata za uređenje bujičnih slivova mogu da se pojave različiti nepredviđeni nepovoljni događaji koji za posledicu imaju prekoračenje vremena, povećanje troškova, smanjenje kvaliteta i dr. U radu su prikazane osnovne karakteristike protiverozionih radova i rizici koji se najčešće pojavljuju kod njihovog izvođenja. Takođe, daje se kratak prikaz upravljanja rizicima kroz osnovne faze, od identifikacije rizika, analize rizika do reakcije na rizik, kao i prikaz metoda koje se koriste u analizi rizika. U okviru kvantitativnih metoda prikazane su matematičke simulacije. Monte Carlo metod je stohastička simulaciona metoda koja zahteva sledeće korake u primeni: identifikacija kriterijumske i relevantnih promenljivih, dodela raspodele verovatnoće za relevantne promenljive, određivanje koeficijenta korelacije među relevantnim promenljivim, izvođenje simulacije i analiza rezultata. Ovom metodom izvršena je analiza ukupnih troškova realizacije projekta regulacije reke Dumača u cilju iznalaženja količine finansijskih sredstava koja bi se koristila kao rezerva u slučaju nepredviđenih nepovoljnih događaja. Projektom regulacije reke Dumača predviđeno je uređenje korita u formi složenog proticajnog profila sa oblaganjem zona gde je to neophodno sa aspekta stabilnosti. Ukupni troškovi su predstavljeni kao zbir troškova svih grupa radova (pripremni, zemljani, zidarski, betonski i završni). Monte Carlo simulacija za analizu troškova izvršena je pomoću programa Oracle Crystal Ball čiji osnovni koraci za primenu su opisani u radu. Na osnovu simuliranih ukupnih troškova realizacije projekta dobijena je suma finansijskih sredstava potrebna kao rezerva u slučaju nepredviđenih događaja., Projects for the regulation of torrent basins carry various unforeseen adverse effects that may result in breached deadlines, increased costs, a reduction of quality etc. The paper presents the basic characteristics and most frequent risks associated with erosion control. Furthermore, it provides an overview of risk management through its basic stages - starting from risk identification and risk analysis to risk responses, including the methods used for risk analysis. As a part of quantitative methods for risk analysis, the Monte Carlo method is presented as the one most frequently used in simulations. The Monte Carlo method is a stochastic simulation method consisting of the following stages: the identification of criterion and relevant variables, the allocation of probability for relevant variables, the determination of correlation coefficient among relevant variables, simulation execution and result analysis. This method was applied in the analysis of the total cost of the project for the basin regulation of the Dumača River in order to determine the funding that would be used as a backup in case of unforeseen events with a negative impact. The project for the regulation of the Dumača River includes basin regulation in the form of complex flow profile and the lining of zones where necessary in terms of stability. The total cost is presented as a sum of costs of all works (preliminary works, earthworks, masonry works, concrete works and finishing works). The Monte Carlo simulation for cost analysis is carried out using the Oracle Crystal Ball software with its basic steps described in the paper. A sum of funding needed as a financial backup in case of unforeseen events with negative effects is obtained as the simulated total cost of the project.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd",
journal = "Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta",
title = "Upravljanje rizicima na realizaciji projekta za odbranu od bujičnih poplava primenom Monte Carlo simulacije, Risk management of a torrential flood construction project using the Monte Carlo simulation",
pages = "44-29",
number = "114",
doi = "10.2298/GSF1614029B",
url = "conv_440"
}

Baumgertel, A., Dragović, N.,& Vulević, T.. (2016). Upravljanje rizicima na realizaciji projekta za odbranu od bujičnih poplava primenom Monte Carlo simulacije. in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Šumarski fakultet, Beograd.(114), 29-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSF1614029B
conv_440

Baumgertel A, Dragović N, Vulević T. Upravljanje rizicima na realizaciji projekta za odbranu od bujičnih poplava primenom Monte Carlo simulacije. in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta. 2016;(114):29-44.
doi:10.2298/GSF1614029B
conv_440 .

Baumgertel, Aleksandar, Dragović, Nada, Vulević, Tijana, "Upravljanje rizicima na realizaciji projekta za odbranu od bujičnih poplava primenom Monte Carlo simulacije" in Glasnik Šumarskog fakulteta, no. 114 (2016):29-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSF1614029B .,
conv_440 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vulević, Tijana
AU  - Dragović, Nada
AU  - Kostadinov, Stanimir
AU  - Belanović Simić, Snežana
AU  - Milovanović, Irina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/676
AB  - Soil erosion caused by natural or anthropogenic factors represents a widespread problem with a range of negative environmental consequences. Various measures and works are being carried out to mitigate and prevent the direct and indirect effects of erosion. These actions often cannot be implemented in a whole region prone to erosion due to limited financial or human resources. Therefore, identifying the area that requires particular attention for conservation is necessary. The objective of this paper was to determine the most vulnerable areas (sub-watersheds) to soil erosion in the Topciderska River Watershed, located in northern Serbia, using available data: land use, soil characteristics, and mean watershed slope. Using such multi-criteria decision analysis methods as analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), the most vulnerable sub-watersheds were determined for three different scenarios. The results show a strong correlation between the ranking based on AHP method and TOPSIS method. It is observed that the most vulnerable sub-watersheds are characterized by the significant presence of arable land and very steep slope and thus have priority for conservation.
T2  - Polish Journal of Environmental Studies
T1  - Prioritization of Soil Erosion Vulnerable Areas Using Multi-Criteria Analysis Methods
EP  - 323
IS  - 1
SP  - 317
VL  - 24
DO  - 10.15244/pjoes/28962
UR  - conv_1147
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vulević, Tijana and Dragović, Nada and Kostadinov, Stanimir and Belanović Simić, Snežana and Milovanović, Irina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Soil erosion caused by natural or anthropogenic factors represents a widespread problem with a range of negative environmental consequences. Various measures and works are being carried out to mitigate and prevent the direct and indirect effects of erosion. These actions often cannot be implemented in a whole region prone to erosion due to limited financial or human resources. Therefore, identifying the area that requires particular attention for conservation is necessary. The objective of this paper was to determine the most vulnerable areas (sub-watersheds) to soil erosion in the Topciderska River Watershed, located in northern Serbia, using available data: land use, soil characteristics, and mean watershed slope. Using such multi-criteria decision analysis methods as analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), the most vulnerable sub-watersheds were determined for three different scenarios. The results show a strong correlation between the ranking based on AHP method and TOPSIS method. It is observed that the most vulnerable sub-watersheds are characterized by the significant presence of arable land and very steep slope and thus have priority for conservation.",
journal = "Polish Journal of Environmental Studies",
title = "Prioritization of Soil Erosion Vulnerable Areas Using Multi-Criteria Analysis Methods",
pages = "323-317",
number = "1",
volume = "24",
doi = "10.15244/pjoes/28962",
url = "conv_1147"
}

Vulević, T., Dragović, N., Kostadinov, S., Belanović Simić, S.,& Milovanović, I.. (2015). Prioritization of Soil Erosion Vulnerable Areas Using Multi-Criteria Analysis Methods. in Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 24(1), 317-323.
https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/28962
conv_1147

Vulević T, Dragović N, Kostadinov S, Belanović Simić S, Milovanović I. Prioritization of Soil Erosion Vulnerable Areas Using Multi-Criteria Analysis Methods. in Polish Journal of Environmental Studies. 2015;24(1):317-323.
doi:10.15244/pjoes/28962
conv_1147 .

Vulević, Tijana, Dragović, Nada, Kostadinov, Stanimir, Belanović Simić, Snežana, Milovanović, Irina, "Prioritization of Soil Erosion Vulnerable Areas Using Multi-Criteria Analysis Methods" in Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 24, no. 1 (2015):317-323,
https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/28962 .,
conv_1147 .