TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vuković, Ana J.
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Rendulić, Sonja M.
AU  - Đurđević, Vladimir
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Popović, Dunja P.
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/932
AB  - Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100
EP  - 2280
IS  - 6
SP  - 2267
VL  - 22
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI180411168V
UR  - conv_1384
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vuković, Ana J. and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Rendulić, Sonja M. and Đurđević, Vladimir and Ruml, Mirjana and Babić, Violeta and Popović, Dunja P.",
year = "2018",
abstract = "Serbia is situated at Balkan Peninsula, and currently majority of the territory is under warm temperate fully humid climate type with warm summers (Cfb type, according to Koppen-Geiger Climate Classification). Observed changes in climate conditions since 1961 until present time show significant increase in temperature change and change in precipitation patterns. Disturbances in heat conditions, which are recorded to affect human health, agricultural production and forest ecosystem, are priority in climate change analysis and application in adaptation planning. Future change analysis show accelerated increase of temperature by the end of the 21st century, which proves the needs for immediate measures for mitigation of negative impacts. Temperature increase averaged over the territory of Serbia is 1.2 degrees C for the period 1996-2015 with respect to the period 1961-1980, with highest increase of maximum daily temperature during the summer season, 2.2 degrees C. Using high resolution multi-model ensemble approach for analysis of the future changes with respect to the base period 1986-2005, in compliance with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) fifth assessment report (ARS), it is estimated that temperature may increase by 1.9 degrees C according to Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario and by 4.4 degrees C according to RCP8.5 by the end of the century. Spatial distribution of temperature increase, intensification of high precipitation events and decrease of summer precipitation, show intrusion of subtropical climate over the Serbia and increase of high temperature and high precipitation risks. Results presented in this paper, using high-resolution multi-model ensemble approach, provide climate change information for short term to long term planning in different sectors of economy and preservation of human health and environment.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100",
pages = "2280-2267",
number = "6",
volume = "22",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI180411168V",
url = "conv_1384"
}

Vuković, A. J., Vujadinović, M., Rendulić, S. M., Đurđević, V., Ruml, M., Babić, V.,& Popović, D. P.. (2018). Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 22(6), 2267-2280.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V
conv_1384

Vuković AJ, Vujadinović M, Rendulić SM, Đurđević V, Ruml M, Babić V, Popović DP. Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100. in Thermal Science. 2018;22(6):2267-2280.
doi:10.2298/TSCI180411168V
conv_1384 .

Vuković, Ana J., Vujadinović, Mirjam, Rendulić, Sonja M., Đurđević, Vladimir, Ruml, Mirjana, Babić, Violeta, Popović, Dunja P., "Global warming impact on climate change in Serbia for the period 1961-2100" in Thermal Science, 22, no. 6 (2018):2267-2280,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI180411168V .,
conv_1384 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ruml, Mirjana
AU  - Gregorić, Enike
AU  - Vujadinović, Mirjam
AU  - Radovanović, Slavica
AU  - Matović, Gordana
AU  - Vuković, Ana
AU  - Pacuca, Vesna
AU  - Petrov, Đurđa
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/875
AB  - The analysis of spatiotemporal changes of temperature extremes in Serbia, based on 18 ETCCDI indices, was performed using daily minimum and maximum temperature observations from 26 meteorological stations over the period 1961-2010. The observation period was divided into two sub-periods (1961-1980 and 1981-2010) according to the results of the sequential Mann-Kendall test. Temporal trends were evaluated by a least-squares linear regression method. The average annual minimum temperature displayed a mixed pattern of increasing, decreasing, and no trends over 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend over 1981-2010 across the whole country, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.48 degrees C per decade. The average annual maximum temperature showed a decreasing trend during 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend at all stations during 1981-2010, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.56 degrees C per decade. Hot indices exhibited a general cooling tendency until 1980 and a warming tendency afterwards, with the most pronounced trends in the number of summer and tropical days during the first period and in the frequency of warm days and nights in the second. Cold indices displayed a mostly warming tendency over the entire period, with the most remarkable increase in the lowest annual maximum temperature and the number of ice days during the first period and in the frequency of cool nights during the second. At most stations, the diurnal temperature range showed a decrease until 1980 and no change or a slight increase afterwards. The lengthening of the growing season was much more pronounced in the later period. The computed correlation coefficient between the annual temperature indices and large-scale circulation features revealed that the East Atlantic pattern displayed much stronger association with examined indices than the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic/West Russia pattern.
T2  - Atmospheric Research
T1  - Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010
EP  - 41
SP  - 26
VL  - 183
DO  - 10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
UR  - conv_1232
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ruml, Mirjana and Gregorić, Enike and Vujadinović, Mirjam and Radovanović, Slavica and Matović, Gordana and Vuković, Ana and Pacuca, Vesna and Petrov, Đurđa",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The analysis of spatiotemporal changes of temperature extremes in Serbia, based on 18 ETCCDI indices, was performed using daily minimum and maximum temperature observations from 26 meteorological stations over the period 1961-2010. The observation period was divided into two sub-periods (1961-1980 and 1981-2010) according to the results of the sequential Mann-Kendall test. Temporal trends were evaluated by a least-squares linear regression method. The average annual minimum temperature displayed a mixed pattern of increasing, decreasing, and no trends over 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend over 1981-2010 across the whole country, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.48 degrees C per decade. The average annual maximum temperature showed a decreasing trend during 1961-1980 and a significant increasing trend at all stations during 1981-2010, with a regionally averaged rate of 0.56 degrees C per decade. Hot indices exhibited a general cooling tendency until 1980 and a warming tendency afterwards, with the most pronounced trends in the number of summer and tropical days during the first period and in the frequency of warm days and nights in the second. Cold indices displayed a mostly warming tendency over the entire period, with the most remarkable increase in the lowest annual maximum temperature and the number of ice days during the first period and in the frequency of cool nights during the second. At most stations, the diurnal temperature range showed a decrease until 1980 and no change or a slight increase afterwards. The lengthening of the growing season was much more pronounced in the later period. The computed correlation coefficient between the annual temperature indices and large-scale circulation features revealed that the East Atlantic pattern displayed much stronger association with examined indices than the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic/West Russia pattern.",
journal = "Atmospheric Research",
title = "Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010",
pages = "41-26",
volume = "183",
doi = "10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013",
url = "conv_1232"
}

Ruml, M., Gregorić, E., Vujadinović, M., Radovanović, S., Matović, G., Vuković, A., Pacuca, V.,& Petrov, Đ.. (2017). Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010. in Atmospheric Research, 183, 26-41.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
conv_1232

Ruml M, Gregorić E, Vujadinović M, Radovanović S, Matović G, Vuković A, Pacuca V, Petrov Đ. Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010. in Atmospheric Research. 2017;183:26-41.
doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013
conv_1232 .

Ruml, Mirjana, Gregorić, Enike, Vujadinović, Mirjam, Radovanović, Slavica, Matović, Gordana, Vuković, Ana, Pacuca, Vesna, Petrov, Đurđa, "Observed changes of temperature extremes in Serbia over the period 1961-2010" in Atmospheric Research, 183 (2017):26-41,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.08.013 .,
conv_1232 .