TY  - JOUR
AU  - Klesse, S.
AU  - Peters, R.
AU  - Alfaro-Sánchez, R.
AU  - Badeau, V.
AU  - Baittinger, C.
AU  - Battipaglia, Giovanna
AU  - Bert, D.
AU  - Biondi, F.
AU  - Bosela, Michal
AU  - Budeanu, M.
AU  - Cada, Vojtech
AU  - Camarero, J.
AU  - Cavin, Liam
AU  - Claessens, H.
AU  - Cretan, A.-M.
AU  - Čufar, K.
AU  - de Luis, M.
AU  - Dorado-Liñán, I.
AU  - Dulamsuren, C.
AU  - Espelta, J.
AU  - Garamszegi, B.
AU  - Grabner, M.
AU  - Gricar, J.
AU  - Hacket-Pain, Andrew
AU  - Hansen, J.
AU  - Hartl, C.
AU  - Hevia, A.
AU  - Hobi, M.
AU  - Janda, P.
AU  - Jump, A.
AU  - Kašpar, J.
AU  - Kazimirović, Marko
AU  - Keren, Srđan
AU  - Kreyling, J.
AU  - Land, A.
AU  - Latte, N.
AU  - Lebourgeois, F.
AU  - Leuschner, C.
AU  - Levesque, Mathieu
AU  - Longares, L.
AU  - del Castillo, E.
AU  - Menzel, A.
AU  - Merela, M.
AU  - Mikoláš, M.
AU  - Motta, Renzo
AU  - Muffler, L.
AU  - Neycken, A.
AU  - Nola, P.
AU  - Panayotov, Momchil
AU  - Petritan, Any Mary
AU  - Petritan, I.
AU  - Popa, I.
AU  - Prislan, Peter
AU  - Levanič, T.
AU  - Roibu, Catalin-Constantin
AU  - Rubio-Cuadrado, Alvaro
AU  - Sanchez-Salguero, Raul
AU  - Šamonil, P.
AU  - Stajić, Branko
AU  - Svoboda, Miroslav
AU  - Tognetti, Roberto
AU  - Toromani, Elvin
AU  - Trotsiuk, Volodymyr
AU  - van der Maaten, Ernst
AU  - Van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke
AU  - Vannoppen, A.
AU  - Vašíčková, I.
AU  - von Arx, G.
AU  - Wilmking, Martin
AU  - Weigel, Robert
AU  - Zlatanov, Tzvetan
AU  - Zang, Christian
AU  - Buras, A.
PY  - 2024
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1467
AB  - With ongoing global warming, increasing water deficits promote physiological stress on forest ecosystems with negative impacts on tree growth, vitality, and survival. How individual tree species will react to increased drought stress is therefore a key research question to address for carbon accounting and the development of climate change mitigation strategies. Recent tree-ring studies have shown that trees at higher latitudes will benefit from warmer temperatures, yet this is likely highly species-dependent and less well-known for more temperate tree species. Using a unique pan-European tree-ring network of 26,430 European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) trees from 2118 sites, we applied a linear mixed-effects modeling framework to (i) explain variation in climate-dependent growth and (ii) project growth for the near future (2021–2050) across the entire distribution of beech. We modeled the spatial pattern of radial growth responses to annually varying climate as a function of mean climate conditions (mean annual temperature, mean annual climatic water balance, and continentality). Over the calibration period (1952–2011), the model yielded high regional explanatory power (R2 = 0.38–0.72). Considering a moderate climate change scenario (CMIP6 SSP2-4.5), beech growth is projected to decrease in the future across most of its distribution range. In particular, projected growth decreases by 12%–18% (interquartile range) in northwestern Central Europe and by 11%–21% in the Mediterranean region. In contrast, climate-driven growth increases are limited to around 13% of the current occurrence, where the historical mean annual temperature was below ~6°C. More specifically, the model predicts a 3%–24% growth increase in the high-elevation clusters of the Alps and Carpathian Arc. Notably, we find little potential for future growth increases (−10 to +2%) at the poleward leading edge in southern Scandinavia. Because in this region beech growth is found to be primarily water-limited, a northward shift in its distributional range will be constrained by water availability.
PB  - John Wiley and Sons Inc
T2  - Global Change Biology
T1  - No Future Growth Enhancement Expected at the Northern Edge for European Beech due to Continued Water Limitation
IS  - 10
VL  - 30
DO  - 10.1111/gcb.17546
UR  - conv_1849
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Klesse, S. and Peters, R. and Alfaro-Sánchez, R. and Badeau, V. and Baittinger, C. and Battipaglia, Giovanna and Bert, D. and Biondi, F. and Bosela, Michal and Budeanu, M. and Cada, Vojtech and Camarero, J. and Cavin, Liam and Claessens, H. and Cretan, A.-M. and Čufar, K. and de Luis, M. and Dorado-Liñán, I. and Dulamsuren, C. and Espelta, J. and Garamszegi, B. and Grabner, M. and Gricar, J. and Hacket-Pain, Andrew and Hansen, J. and Hartl, C. and Hevia, A. and Hobi, M. and Janda, P. and Jump, A. and Kašpar, J. and Kazimirović, Marko and Keren, Srđan and Kreyling, J. and Land, A. and Latte, N. and Lebourgeois, F. and Leuschner, C. and Levesque, Mathieu and Longares, L. and del Castillo, E. and Menzel, A. and Merela, M. and Mikoláš, M. and Motta, Renzo and Muffler, L. and Neycken, A. and Nola, P. and Panayotov, Momchil and Petritan, Any Mary and Petritan, I. and Popa, I. and Prislan, Peter and Levanič, T. and Roibu, Catalin-Constantin and Rubio-Cuadrado, Alvaro and Sanchez-Salguero, Raul and Šamonil, P. and Stajić, Branko and Svoboda, Miroslav and Tognetti, Roberto and Toromani, Elvin and Trotsiuk, Volodymyr and van der Maaten, Ernst and Van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke and Vannoppen, A. and Vašíčková, I. and von Arx, G. and Wilmking, Martin and Weigel, Robert and Zlatanov, Tzvetan and Zang, Christian and Buras, A.",
year = "2024",
abstract = "With ongoing global warming, increasing water deficits promote physiological stress on forest ecosystems with negative impacts on tree growth, vitality, and survival. How individual tree species will react to increased drought stress is therefore a key research question to address for carbon accounting and the development of climate change mitigation strategies. Recent tree-ring studies have shown that trees at higher latitudes will benefit from warmer temperatures, yet this is likely highly species-dependent and less well-known for more temperate tree species. Using a unique pan-European tree-ring network of 26,430 European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) trees from 2118 sites, we applied a linear mixed-effects modeling framework to (i) explain variation in climate-dependent growth and (ii) project growth for the near future (2021–2050) across the entire distribution of beech. We modeled the spatial pattern of radial growth responses to annually varying climate as a function of mean climate conditions (mean annual temperature, mean annual climatic water balance, and continentality). Over the calibration period (1952–2011), the model yielded high regional explanatory power (R2 = 0.38–0.72). Considering a moderate climate change scenario (CMIP6 SSP2-4.5), beech growth is projected to decrease in the future across most of its distribution range. In particular, projected growth decreases by 12%–18% (interquartile range) in northwestern Central Europe and by 11%–21% in the Mediterranean region. In contrast, climate-driven growth increases are limited to around 13% of the current occurrence, where the historical mean annual temperature was below ~6°C. More specifically, the model predicts a 3%–24% growth increase in the high-elevation clusters of the Alps and Carpathian Arc. Notably, we find little potential for future growth increases (−10 to +2%) at the poleward leading edge in southern Scandinavia. Because in this region beech growth is found to be primarily water-limited, a northward shift in its distributional range will be constrained by water availability.",
publisher = "John Wiley and Sons Inc",
journal = "Global Change Biology",
title = "No Future Growth Enhancement Expected at the Northern Edge for European Beech due to Continued Water Limitation",
number = "10",
volume = "30",
doi = "10.1111/gcb.17546",
url = "conv_1849"
}

Klesse, S., Peters, R., Alfaro-Sánchez, R., Badeau, V., Baittinger, C., Battipaglia, G., Bert, D., Biondi, F., Bosela, M., Budeanu, M., Cada, V., Camarero, J., Cavin, L., Claessens, H., Cretan, A.-M., Čufar, K., de Luis, M., Dorado-Liñán, I., Dulamsuren, C., Espelta, J., Garamszegi, B., Grabner, M., Gricar, J., Hacket-Pain, A., Hansen, J., Hartl, C., Hevia, A., Hobi, M., Janda, P., Jump, A., Kašpar, J., Kazimirović, M., Keren, S., Kreyling, J., Land, A., Latte, N., Lebourgeois, F., Leuschner, C., Levesque, M., Longares, L., del Castillo, E., Menzel, A., Merela, M., Mikoláš, M., Motta, R., Muffler, L., Neycken, A., Nola, P., Panayotov, M., Petritan, A. M., Petritan, I., Popa, I., Prislan, P., Levanič, T., Roibu, C., Rubio-Cuadrado, A., Sanchez-Salguero, R., Šamonil, P., Stajić, B., Svoboda, M., Tognetti, R., Toromani, E., Trotsiuk, V., van der Maaten, E., Van der Maaten-Theunissen, M., Vannoppen, A., Vašíčková, I., von Arx, G., Wilmking, M., Weigel, R., Zlatanov, T., Zang, C.,& Buras, A.. (2024). No Future Growth Enhancement Expected at the Northern Edge for European Beech due to Continued Water Limitation. in Global Change Biology
John Wiley and Sons Inc., 30(10).
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17546
conv_1849

Klesse S, Peters R, Alfaro-Sánchez R, Badeau V, Baittinger C, Battipaglia G, Bert D, Biondi F, Bosela M, Budeanu M, Cada V, Camarero J, Cavin L, Claessens H, Cretan A, Čufar K, de Luis M, Dorado-Liñán I, Dulamsuren C, Espelta J, Garamszegi B, Grabner M, Gricar J, Hacket-Pain A, Hansen J, Hartl C, Hevia A, Hobi M, Janda P, Jump A, Kašpar J, Kazimirović M, Keren S, Kreyling J, Land A, Latte N, Lebourgeois F, Leuschner C, Levesque M, Longares L, del Castillo E, Menzel A, Merela M, Mikoláš M, Motta R, Muffler L, Neycken A, Nola P, Panayotov M, Petritan AM, Petritan I, Popa I, Prislan P, Levanič T, Roibu C, Rubio-Cuadrado A, Sanchez-Salguero R, Šamonil P, Stajić B, Svoboda M, Tognetti R, Toromani E, Trotsiuk V, van der Maaten E, Van der Maaten-Theunissen M, Vannoppen A, Vašíčková I, von Arx G, Wilmking M, Weigel R, Zlatanov T, Zang C, Buras A. No Future Growth Enhancement Expected at the Northern Edge for European Beech due to Continued Water Limitation. in Global Change Biology. 2024;30(10).
doi:10.1111/gcb.17546
conv_1849 .

Klesse, S., Peters, R., Alfaro-Sánchez, R., Badeau, V., Baittinger, C., Battipaglia, Giovanna, Bert, D., Biondi, F., Bosela, Michal, Budeanu, M., Cada, Vojtech, Camarero, J., Cavin, Liam, Claessens, H., Cretan, A.-M., Čufar, K., de Luis, M., Dorado-Liñán, I., Dulamsuren, C., Espelta, J., Garamszegi, B., Grabner, M., Gricar, J., Hacket-Pain, Andrew, Hansen, J., Hartl, C., Hevia, A., Hobi, M., Janda, P., Jump, A., Kašpar, J., Kazimirović, Marko, Keren, Srđan, Kreyling, J., Land, A., Latte, N., Lebourgeois, F., Leuschner, C., Levesque, Mathieu, Longares, L., del Castillo, E., Menzel, A., Merela, M., Mikoláš, M., Motta, Renzo, Muffler, L., Neycken, A., Nola, P., Panayotov, Momchil, Petritan, Any Mary, Petritan, I., Popa, I., Prislan, Peter, Levanič, T., Roibu, Catalin-Constantin, Rubio-Cuadrado, Alvaro, Sanchez-Salguero, Raul, Šamonil, P., Stajić, Branko, Svoboda, Miroslav, Tognetti, Roberto, Toromani, Elvin, Trotsiuk, Volodymyr, van der Maaten, Ernst, Van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke, Vannoppen, A., Vašíčková, I., von Arx, G., Wilmking, Martin, Weigel, Robert, Zlatanov, Tzvetan, Zang, Christian, Buras, A., "No Future Growth Enhancement Expected at the Northern Edge for European Beech due to Continued Water Limitation" in Global Change Biology, 30, no. 10 (2024),
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17546 .,
conv_1849 .