TY  - JOUR
AU  - Patacca, Marco
AU  - Lindner, Marcus
AU  - Lucas-Borja, Manuel Esteban
AU  - Cordonnier, Thomas
AU  - Fidej, Gal
AU  - Gardiner, Barry
AU  - Hauf, Ylva
AU  - Jasinevicius, Gediminas
AU  - Labonne, Sophie
AU  - Linkevicius, Edgaras
AU  - Mahnken, Mats
AU  - Milanović, Slobodan
AU  - Nabuurs, Gert-Jan
AU  - Nagel, Thomas A.
AU  - Nikinmaa, Laura
AU  - Panyatov, Momchil
AU  - Bercak, Roman
AU  - Seidl, Rupert
AU  - Sever, Masa Zorana Ostrogović
AU  - Socha, Jaroslaw
AU  - Thom, Dominik
AU  - Vuletić, Dijana
AU  - Zudin, Sergey
AU  - Schelhaas, Mart-Jan
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1409
AB  - Over the last decades, the natural disturbance is increasingly putting pressure on European forests. Shifts in disturbance regimes may compromise forest functioning and the continuous provisioning of ecosystem services to society, including their climate change mitigation potential. Although forests are central to many European policies, we lack the long-term empirical data needed for thoroughly understanding disturbance dynamics, modeling them, and developing adaptive management strategies. Here, we present a unique database of  gt 170,000 records of ground-based natural disturbance observations in European forests from 1950 to 2019. Reported data confirm a significant increase in forest disturbance in 34 European countries, causing on an average of 43.8 million m(3) of disturbed timber volume per year over the 70-year study period. This value is likely a conservative estimate due to under-reporting, especially of small-scale disturbances. We used machine learning techniques for assessing the magnitude of unreported disturbances, which are estimated to be between 8.6 and 18.3 million m(3)/year. In the last 20 years, disturbances on average accounted for 16% of the mean annual harvest in Europe. Wind was the most important disturbance agent over the study period (46% of total damage), followed by fire (24%) and bark beetles (17%). Bark beetle disturbance doubled its share of the total damage in the last 20 years. Forest disturbances can profoundly impact ecosystem services (e.g., climate change mitigation), affect regional forest resource provisioning and consequently disrupt long-term management planning objectives and timber markets. We conclude that adaptation to changing disturbance regimes must be placed at the core of the European forest management and policy debate. Furthermore, a coherent and homogeneous monitoring system of natural disturbances is urgently needed in Europe, to better observe and respond to the ongoing changes in forest disturbance regimes.
T2  - Global Change Biology
T1  - Significant increase in natural disturbance impacts on European forests since 1950
EP  - 1376
IS  - 5
SP  - 1359
VL  - 29
DO  - 10.1111/gcb.16531
UR  - conv_1672
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Patacca, Marco and Lindner, Marcus and Lucas-Borja, Manuel Esteban and Cordonnier, Thomas and Fidej, Gal and Gardiner, Barry and Hauf, Ylva and Jasinevicius, Gediminas and Labonne, Sophie and Linkevicius, Edgaras and Mahnken, Mats and Milanović, Slobodan and Nabuurs, Gert-Jan and Nagel, Thomas A. and Nikinmaa, Laura and Panyatov, Momchil and Bercak, Roman and Seidl, Rupert and Sever, Masa Zorana Ostrogović and Socha, Jaroslaw and Thom, Dominik and Vuletić, Dijana and Zudin, Sergey and Schelhaas, Mart-Jan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Over the last decades, the natural disturbance is increasingly putting pressure on European forests. Shifts in disturbance regimes may compromise forest functioning and the continuous provisioning of ecosystem services to society, including their climate change mitigation potential. Although forests are central to many European policies, we lack the long-term empirical data needed for thoroughly understanding disturbance dynamics, modeling them, and developing adaptive management strategies. Here, we present a unique database of  gt 170,000 records of ground-based natural disturbance observations in European forests from 1950 to 2019. Reported data confirm a significant increase in forest disturbance in 34 European countries, causing on an average of 43.8 million m(3) of disturbed timber volume per year over the 70-year study period. This value is likely a conservative estimate due to under-reporting, especially of small-scale disturbances. We used machine learning techniques for assessing the magnitude of unreported disturbances, which are estimated to be between 8.6 and 18.3 million m(3)/year. In the last 20 years, disturbances on average accounted for 16% of the mean annual harvest in Europe. Wind was the most important disturbance agent over the study period (46% of total damage), followed by fire (24%) and bark beetles (17%). Bark beetle disturbance doubled its share of the total damage in the last 20 years. Forest disturbances can profoundly impact ecosystem services (e.g., climate change mitigation), affect regional forest resource provisioning and consequently disrupt long-term management planning objectives and timber markets. We conclude that adaptation to changing disturbance regimes must be placed at the core of the European forest management and policy debate. Furthermore, a coherent and homogeneous monitoring system of natural disturbances is urgently needed in Europe, to better observe and respond to the ongoing changes in forest disturbance regimes.",
journal = "Global Change Biology",
title = "Significant increase in natural disturbance impacts on European forests since 1950",
pages = "1376-1359",
number = "5",
volume = "29",
doi = "10.1111/gcb.16531",
url = "conv_1672"
}

Patacca, M., Lindner, M., Lucas-Borja, M. E., Cordonnier, T., Fidej, G., Gardiner, B., Hauf, Y., Jasinevicius, G., Labonne, S., Linkevicius, E., Mahnken, M., Milanović, S., Nabuurs, G., Nagel, T. A., Nikinmaa, L., Panyatov, M., Bercak, R., Seidl, R., Sever, M. Z. O., Socha, J., Thom, D., Vuletić, D., Zudin, S.,& Schelhaas, M.. (2023). Significant increase in natural disturbance impacts on European forests since 1950. in Global Change Biology, 29(5), 1359-1376.
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16531
conv_1672

Patacca M, Lindner M, Lucas-Borja ME, Cordonnier T, Fidej G, Gardiner B, Hauf Y, Jasinevicius G, Labonne S, Linkevicius E, Mahnken M, Milanović S, Nabuurs G, Nagel TA, Nikinmaa L, Panyatov M, Bercak R, Seidl R, Sever MZO, Socha J, Thom D, Vuletić D, Zudin S, Schelhaas M. Significant increase in natural disturbance impacts on European forests since 1950. in Global Change Biology. 2023;29(5):1359-1376.
doi:10.1111/gcb.16531
conv_1672 .

Patacca, Marco, Lindner, Marcus, Lucas-Borja, Manuel Esteban, Cordonnier, Thomas, Fidej, Gal, Gardiner, Barry, Hauf, Ylva, Jasinevicius, Gediminas, Labonne, Sophie, Linkevicius, Edgaras, Mahnken, Mats, Milanović, Slobodan, Nabuurs, Gert-Jan, Nagel, Thomas A., Nikinmaa, Laura, Panyatov, Momchil, Bercak, Roman, Seidl, Rupert, Sever, Masa Zorana Ostrogović, Socha, Jaroslaw, Thom, Dominik, Vuletić, Dijana, Zudin, Sergey, Schelhaas, Mart-Jan, "Significant increase in natural disturbance impacts on European forests since 1950" in Global Change Biology, 29, no. 5 (2023):1359-1376,
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16531 .,
conv_1672 .