Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study
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Baumgertel, Aleksandar
Lukić, Sara
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Caković, Milica
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Miljković, Predrag
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Tošić, Milica
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Lazić, Irida
Đurđević, Vladimir
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Marković, Mladen
Article (Published version)
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Climate indicators (temperature and precipitation) are particularly important in times of global climate change because they create the preconditions for the development of wind erosion. The main goal of this research is to analyse the land's susceptibility to wind erosion in the future, using the fuzzy logic for the non-growing season (March and November) as well as for the growing season (July). The climate factor (CF) has been calculated for four different time periods: 1971-2000, 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The data were extracted for 11 different combinations of regional climate models (RCMs) and global climate models (GCMs) using the EURO-CORDEX database. The climate sensitivity to wind erosion is bound to be significantly higher in the growing season (late 21st century) due to the increase in the average monthly air temperature and the decrease in precipitation.
Keywords:
wind erosion / regional climate change / fuzzy logic / EURO-CORDEX / environmental modellingSource:
International Journal of Global Warming, 2022, 27, 3, 284-299Funding / projects:
- Studying climate change and its influence on environment: impacts, adaptation and mitigation (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-43007)
DOI: 10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203
ISSN: 1758-2083
WoS: 000827169900005
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85134898852
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Šumarski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Baumgertel, Aleksandar AU - Lukić, Sara AU - Caković, Milica AU - Miljković, Predrag AU - Tošić, Milica AU - Lazić, Irida AU - Đurđević, Vladimir AU - Marković, Mladen PY - 2022 UR - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1291 AB - Climate indicators (temperature and precipitation) are particularly important in times of global climate change because they create the preconditions for the development of wind erosion. The main goal of this research is to analyse the land's susceptibility to wind erosion in the future, using the fuzzy logic for the non-growing season (March and November) as well as for the growing season (July). The climate factor (CF) has been calculated for four different time periods: 1971-2000, 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The data were extracted for 11 different combinations of regional climate models (RCMs) and global climate models (GCMs) using the EURO-CORDEX database. The climate sensitivity to wind erosion is bound to be significantly higher in the growing season (late 21st century) due to the increase in the average monthly air temperature and the decrease in precipitation. T2 - International Journal of Global Warming T1 - Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study EP - 299 IS - 3 SP - 284 VL - 27 DO - 10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203 UR - conv_1646 ER -
@article{ author = "Baumgertel, Aleksandar and Lukić, Sara and Caković, Milica and Miljković, Predrag and Tošić, Milica and Lazić, Irida and Đurđević, Vladimir and Marković, Mladen", year = "2022", abstract = "Climate indicators (temperature and precipitation) are particularly important in times of global climate change because they create the preconditions for the development of wind erosion. The main goal of this research is to analyse the land's susceptibility to wind erosion in the future, using the fuzzy logic for the non-growing season (March and November) as well as for the growing season (July). The climate factor (CF) has been calculated for four different time periods: 1971-2000, 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The data were extracted for 11 different combinations of regional climate models (RCMs) and global climate models (GCMs) using the EURO-CORDEX database. The climate sensitivity to wind erosion is bound to be significantly higher in the growing season (late 21st century) due to the increase in the average monthly air temperature and the decrease in precipitation.", journal = "International Journal of Global Warming", title = "Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study", pages = "299-284", number = "3", volume = "27", doi = "10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203", url = "conv_1646" }
Baumgertel, A., Lukić, S., Caković, M., Miljković, P., Tošić, M., Lazić, I., Đurđević, V.,& Marković, M.. (2022). Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study. in International Journal of Global Warming, 27(3), 284-299. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203 conv_1646
Baumgertel A, Lukić S, Caković M, Miljković P, Tošić M, Lazić I, Đurđević V, Marković M. Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study. in International Journal of Global Warming. 2022;27(3):284-299. doi:10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203 conv_1646 .
Baumgertel, Aleksandar, Lukić, Sara, Caković, Milica, Miljković, Predrag, Tošić, Milica, Lazić, Irida, Đurđević, Vladimir, Marković, Mladen, "Spatiotemporal analysis of the future sensitivity to wind erosion using ensemble of the regional climate models: a case study" in International Journal of Global Warming, 27, no. 3 (2022):284-299, https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGW.2022.124203 ., conv_1646 .