Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations
Apstrakt
In Finland, in the period 1996–2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically non-significant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p ≤ .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (−0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of... forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
Izvor:
2021, 69, 1Izdavač:
- Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
Institucija/grupa
Šumarski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Milenković, Milan AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Mihajlović, Jovan AU - Burić, Dragan AU - Babić, Violeta PY - 2021 UR - https://omorika.sfb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1215 AB - In Finland, in the period 1996–2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically non-significant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p ≤ .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (−0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland. PB - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd T1 - Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations IS - 1 VL - 69 UR - conv_2357 ER -
@article{ author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta", year = "2021", abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996–2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically non-significant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p ≤ .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (−0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (−0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.", publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd", title = "Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations", number = "1", volume = "69", url = "conv_2357" }
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2021). Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations. Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 69(1). conv_2357
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations. 2021;69(1). conv_2357 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland – the influence of atmospheric oscillations", 69, no. 1 (2021), conv_2357 .